Noia vs Barco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Castro B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Noia
25.1%
Draw
30.8%
Barco
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 29.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.8% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noia's form might have worsened.
  • Barco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barco than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Noia - Barco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.25
    (2.12)
    3.46
    (3.1)
    2.41
    (3.27)
    -6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Noia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Barco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Noia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Noia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Noia
    16.11.2025 Compostela - Noia 2:1
    09.11.2025 Noia - Estradense 1:1
    01.11.2025 Somozas - Noia 1:0
    25.10.2025 Noia - Montañeros 1:3
    19.10.2025 Arosa - Noia 5:2
    Latest results of Barco
    16.11.2025 Barco - RC Villalbes 0:0
    09.11.2025 Barbadás - Barco 1:2
    02.11.2025 Barco - Alondras 1:1
    26.10.2025 Lugo B - Barco 1:1
    19.10.2025 Barco - Gran Peña 1:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

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