Gran Peña vs Noia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
18/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Fontan Davila M. ,
  • 25', 3 - 0, Armada T. ,
  • 32', 4 - 0, Coira A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 80', 5 - 0, Barrios Comesana A. ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
59.6%
Draw
24.2%
Noia
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 28% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.3% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gran Peña's performance.
  • Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gran Peña - Noia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.97)
    4.6
    (3.25)
    6.86
    (3.55)
    -10.1%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Gran Peña is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Noia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gran Peña will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Noia were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Noia - Gran Peña 2:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    11.01.2026 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 1:0
    21.12.2025 Gran Peña - Barbadás 1:2
    14.12.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 1:1
    07.12.2025 Gran Peña - Lugo B 2:3
    23.11.2025 Gran Peña - Viveiro 0:0
    Latest results of Noia
    11.01.2026 Noia - Silva SD 0:0
    21.12.2025 Céltiga - Noia 1:0
    13.12.2025 Noia - Juventud Cambados 2:1
    06.12.2025 Boiro - Noia 4:0
    23.11.2025 Noia - Barco 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

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