Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Juhkam G. ⚽,
- 13', 🟨,
- 25', 🟨,
- 42', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Piht K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', 2 - 1, Orlov M. ⚽,
- 86', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
37.5% | Draw
26.3% | Nõmme Kalju
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme Kalju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paide LM - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.45) |
3.54 ↓
(4) |
2.58 ↑
(2.2) |
7.2%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 2.
- Paide has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Paide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Nõmme Kalju?
Paide LM has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Paide LM?
Nõmme Kalju has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
08.11.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
1:1
14.09.2025
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:1
28.05.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
0:2
09.03.2025
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
4:0
05.03.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
1:0
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
