Result
0:2
28/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 14
- Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kask K. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Saarma R. (Pen),
- 57', Ivanov N. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 60', Luts S. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Reinkort S. ⚽, Miller M. (A),
- 74', Musolitin O. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 76', Mashchenko D. ↓, Korre U. ↑,
- 76', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 76', Gueye M. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
- 76', Reinkort S. ↓, Gomis M. ↑,
- 83', Delevic M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Tambedou M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
42.9% | Draw
26.7% | Paide LM
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme Kalju's performance.Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide LM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.43) |
3.45 ↓
(3.5) |
3.02 ↑
(2.35) |
8.6%
(12.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM?
Users Predictions:
Nõmme Kalju will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nõmme Kalju will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 2.
- Nõmme Kalju is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Paide has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Paide LM?
Nõmme Kalju has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Nõmme Kalju?
Paide LM has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM were as follows:
09.03.2025
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
4:0
05.03.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
1:0
06.10.2024
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:1
01.09.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
2:4
22.05.2024
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:2
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53:16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Flora | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Paide | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Kalju | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 47:27 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Narva | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 30:59 | -29 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 23:71 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
