Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 27
- Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Victor Hugo ⚽,
- 29', Gilmore L. 🟨,
- 33', Luts S. 🟨,
- 38', Mashchenko D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Miller M. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
- 56', Ivanov N. ↓, Godwin C. ↑,
- 56', Kask K. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 67', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
- 67', Mannilaan M. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Siht R. ⚽, Nikolajev A. (A),
- 72', Anier H. ↓, Reinkort S. ↑,
- 75', Reinkort S. 🟨,
- 87', Podholjuzin M. ↓, Korre U. ↑,
- 90+1', Reinkort S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
42.6% | Draw
26% | Nõmme Kalju
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paide LM's form might have worsened.Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paide LM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Paide LM - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.89) |
3.53 ↓
(3.73) |
2.93 ↓
(3.44) |
8.8%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 3.
- Paide is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Paide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Nõmme Kalju?
Paide LM has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Paide LM?
Nõmme Kalju has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
28.05.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
0:2
09.03.2025
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
4:0
05.03.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
1:0
06.10.2024
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:1
01.09.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
2:4
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 65:26 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Levadia | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 70:30 | 40 | 63 |
| 3 | Paide | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 47:26 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Kalju | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 5 | Narva | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 37:58 | -21 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 24 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 30 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 37:69 | -32 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 25:89 | -64 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
