Elva vs Nõmme United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Esiliiga Elva - Nõmme United
Result
1:4
13/09/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 27

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Beglarishvili Z. ,
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 2, Ounapuu E. , Palts M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 61', 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 3, Ounapuu E. ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Paju A. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 4, Ossep L. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Elva
14.5%
Draw
17.6%
Nõmme United
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 19.4% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 19.1% 63.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Elva - Nõmme United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.67
    (4.9)
    5.34
    (4.6)
    1.34
    (1.43)
    8.5%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Elva - Nõmme United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 0.
    • In recent matches, Elva has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nõmme United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Nõmme United is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Elva won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:42. (average 1.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 2:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - Nõmme United were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Elva - Nõmme United 0:2
    12.11.2023 Elva - Nõmme United 0:7
    16.09.2023 Nõmme United - Elva 5:2
    29.05.2023 Elva - Nõmme United 0:2
    21.04.2023 Nõmme United - Elva 1:1
    Latest results of Elva
    30.08.2025 Nõmme Kalju U21 - Elva 0:1
    24.08.2025 Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21 0:2
    16.08.2025 FC Tallinn - Elva 1:2
    09.08.2025 Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21 2:0
    04.08.2025 Elva - Tartu Welco 1:2
    Latest results of Nõmme United
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nomme Utd30252395:227377
    2Viimsi JK31206570:244666
    3Elva31157956:49752
    4Tartu Welco31157962:481452
    5Flora U21301281053:411244
    6Nomme Kalju U21311151546:68-2238
    7FC Tallinn311071453:61-837
    8Levadia U2131971554:62-834
    9Tallinna Kalev U21315111549:76-2726
    10Tammeka U2131202932:119-876

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