Tartu Welco vs Elva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
27/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
108
Corner kicks
82
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
108
Shots off target
77
Corner kicks
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Laasner K. ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Mottus E. ,
  • 29', 3 - 0, Mugra M. ,
  • 38', 3 - 1, Haabma K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', 3 - 2, Poldsaar K. ,
  • 70', 3 - 3, Burov K. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tartu Welco
59.9%
Draw
20.8%
Elva
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 20.1% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 19.2% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Tartu Welco - Elva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.46)
    4.35
    (4.48)
    4.68
    (4.89)
    10.7%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Meistriliiga and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Tartu Welco has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tartu Welco is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Welco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tartu Welco - Elva were as follows:
    27.10.2025 Tartu Welco - Elva 3:2
    04.08.2025 Elva - Tartu Welco 1:2
    14.06.2025 Tartu Welco - Elva 2:5
    15.03.2025 Elva - Tartu Welco 3:1
    28.09.2024 Elva - Tartu Welco 0:1
    Latest results of Tartu Welco
    Latest results of Elva
    23.04.2026 Flora U21 - Elva 3:2
    19.04.2026 Elva - Nõmme United U21 1:3
    09.04.2026 Tallinna Kalev - Elva 2:1
    03.04.2026 Elva - Viimsi JK 1:0
    21.03.2026 Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21 3:2
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tartu Welco971130:111922
    2Flora U21860225:131218
    3Viimsi JK952215:8717
    4Nomme Utd U21842218:15314
    5Tallinna Kalev932419:19011
    6Elva932417:18-111
    7Nomme Kalju U21931515:24-910
    8FC Tallinn923416:26-109
    9Maardu913510:25-156
    10Levadia U21920715:21-66

          Promotion ~ Meistriliiga
          Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )
          Esiliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga B