Ratchaburi vs Nongbua Pitchaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Thai League 1 Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya
Result
4:0
09/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
thailandThailandTrue Ball Thai 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.57
Ball Possession
66%34%
Goal Attempts
2111
Shots on Goal
103
Shots off Goal
75
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
86
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Free Kicks
76
Offsides
12
Fouls
67
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
1215
Touches in the Opposition Box
3815
Passes
87% (480/553)73% (213/293)
Passes in the final third
77% (126/163)52% (33/63)
Crosses
42% (14/33)50% (5/10)
Tackles
77% (10/13)75% (6/8)
Clearances Total
931
Interceptions
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Rakotoharimalala N. , Chiamudom K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Songma J. , Sriwichai W. ,
  • 46', Chawin S. , Haber M. ,
  • 61', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
  • 64', Rontini C. 🟨,
  • 65', Chiamudom K. , Sorada A. ,
  • 66', Khemdee J. , Namwech W. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Suengchitthawon T. , Srisuwan K. (A),
  • 77', 3 - 0, Rakotoharimalala N. , Tanaka T. (A),
  • 81', Rontini C. , Tanee W. ,
  • 81', Seekaewnit P. , Posri S. ,
  • 83', Kaewprom J. , Poomkeaw C. ,
  • 83', Srisuwan K. , Chakkuprasart S. ,
  • 84', Hantes A. , Songma J. ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Poomkeaw C. , Tanaka T. (A),

Chances of winning


Ratchaburi
67.5%
Draw
18.9%
Nongbua Pitchaya
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 22.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 22.1% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ratchaburi's performance.
  • Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nongbua Pitchaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ratchaburi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nongbua Pitchaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.59)
    4.85
    (4.02)
    6.73
    (4.66)
    9%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ratchaburi won 2.
    • Ratchaburi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Nongbua Pitchaya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nongbua Pitchaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Ratchaburi have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Ratchaburi is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Ratchaburi to win the game is with odds 1.46.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Ratchaburi won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ratchaburi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi 5:3
    05.02.2023 Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya 2:1
    25.01.2023 Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya 0:0
    02.09.2022 Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi 0:2
    Latest results of Ratchaburi
    Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram330010:469
    2Muang Thong Utd32105:237
    3Ratchaburi32104:137
    4Bangkok Utd32108:627
    5Ayutthaya Utd31117:614
    6Port MTI FC31114:314
    7Pathum United31115:504
    8Chiangrai Utd31114:404
    9Sukhothai31111:104
    10Nakhon Ratchasima FC31112:3-14
    11Prachuap30213:4-12
    12Chonburi30212:3-12
    13Kanchanaburi30214:6-22
    14Lamphun Warrior30125:7-21
    15Rayong FC30124:6-21
    16Uthai Thani30123:10-71

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2