Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 23
- Referee: Hansen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (352/455) | 68% (212/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (352/455) | 68% (212/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (38/93) | 27% (16/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (72/128) | 59% (74/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 67 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Diao O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Diao O. ↓, Erlic M. ↑,
- 46', Byskov V. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 47', Adel I. 🟨,
- 48', Castillo D. 🟨,
- 59', Adel I. ↓, Rasmussen H. ↑,
- 59', Amoako P. ↓, Nene L. ↑,
- 68', Osorio D. ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
- 68', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 80', Erlic M. 🟨,
- 80', Bak V. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
- 80', Brink M. ↓, Johannesson D. ↑,
- 85', Nene L. 🟨,
- 89', Lahteenmaki J. ↓, Gustafsen V. ↑,
- 89', Heyde M. ↓, Rutkjaer V. ↑,
- 90+10', 0 - 1, Nene L. ⚽, Johannesson D. (A),
- 90+14', Billing P. 🟨,
- 90+14', Yirenkyi C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Midtjylland 64.9% | Draw 19.5% | Nordsjælland 15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Nordsjælland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Midtjylland - Nordsjælland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↓ (1.56) |
4.83 ↑ (4.7) |
6.02 ↑ (4.8) |
6.1% (6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Nordsjælland?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Nordsjælland will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 64.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Midtjylland (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Midtjylland (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nordsjælland (5.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 4 - 80%). Nordsjælland (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Midtjylland is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Brynhildsen O.
(Knee Injury)
Djabi A.
(Injury)
Franculino
(Knee Injury)
Gogorza M.
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nordsjælland: Alio S.
(Inactive)
Mohammed A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Midtjylland: Mbabu K.
(Injury)
- We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:30. (average 2.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 30:6. (average 3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Nordsjælland?
Midtjylland has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nordsjælland won against Midtjylland?
Nordsjælland has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Nordsjælland were as follows:
14.12.2025
Nordsjælland
-
Midtjylland
2:1
04.12.2025
Midtjylland
-
Nordsjælland
5:1
30.11.2025
Midtjylland
-
Nordsjælland
6:0
14.09.2025
Nordsjælland
-
Midtjylland
1:0
27.04.2025
Midtjylland
-
Nordsjælland
5:0
Latest results of Midtjylland
Latest results of Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 47:24 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 58:24 | 34 | 46 |
| 3 | Sonderjyske | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Viborg | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Brondby | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 34 |
| 6 | Nordsjaelland | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )