Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 8
- Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (549/623) | 83% (374/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (549/623) | 83% (374/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 59% (41/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (144/184) | 59% (54/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Amoako P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Mbabu K. ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
- 60', Castillo D. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 60', Simsir A. ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
- 67', Solbakken O. ↓, Norheim R. ↑,
- 72', Bravo P. 🟨,
- 74', Lind A. ↓, Berthelsen V. ↑,
- 74', Brink M. ↓, Janssen J. ↑,
- 77', Billing P. ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
- 82', Janssen J. 🟨,
- 86', Bravo P. 🟨,
- 88', Erlic M. ↓, Diao O. ↑,
- 88', Lahteenmaki J. ↓, Seidu I. ↑,
- 88', Amoako P. ↓, Acquah S. ↑,
- 90+1', Yirenkyi C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Junior Brumado 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nordsjælland
36.8% | Draw
27.3% | Midtjylland
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordsjælland's performance.Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Midtjylland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordsjælland that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midtjylland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nordsjælland - Midtjylland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↓
(3.37) |
3.79 ↓
(3.9) |
2.97 ↑
(2.01) |
-4.2%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nordsjælland - Midtjylland?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Midtjylland will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 1.
- Nordsjælland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Midtjylland is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Midtjylland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nordsjælland: Lind A.
(Illness)
Marxen E.
(Injury)
Mohammed A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
Gogorza M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:42. (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nordsjælland won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 2.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nordsjælland won against Midtjylland?
Nordsjælland has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Nordsjælland?
Midtjylland has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nordsjælland - Midtjylland were as follows:
27.04.2025
Midtjylland
-
Nordsjælland
5:0
22.04.2025
Nordsjælland
-
Midtjylland
3:2
02.03.2025
Midtjylland
-
Nordsjælland
2:1
27.07.2024
Nordsjælland
-
Midtjylland
2:2
20.05.2024
Nordsjælland
-
Midtjylland
3:3
Latest results of Nordsjælland
Latest results of Midtjylland
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Brondby | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Randers FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Nordsjaelland | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Sonderjyske | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Fredericia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Silkeborg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Viborg | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Vejle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
