Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Metz J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
 Usa | NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (350/432) | 75% (286/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (350/432) | 75% (286/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/40) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (61/88) | 61% (66/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Jackson R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Matsukubo M. ⚽, O'Sullivan D. (A),
- 60', Sanchez A. ↓, Koyama S. ↑,
- 63', Murphy C. 🟨,
- 67', Roccaro C. 🟨,
- 68', Shaw J. ↓, Vine C. ↑,
- 68', Schlegel A. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
- 68', Biegalski C. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Koyama S. (A),
- 82', Lopez Millan M. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
- 82', Groom S. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
- 85', Lussi T. ↓, Speck M. ↑,
- 85', Jackson R. ↓, Aline Gomes ↑,
- 85', Staude N. ↓, Weatherholt D. ↑,
- 86', Ludmila ↓, Johnson M. ↑,
- 90+2', Malham T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
North Carolina Courage
62.5% | Draw
23.4% | Chicago Stars
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina Courage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina Courage's form might have worsened.Chicago Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina Courage, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.33) |
3.93 ↓
(4.61) |
6.53 ↓
(7.94) |
8.6%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4.
- Recent performances by North Carolina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chicago is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, North Carolina is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina Courage won against Chicago Stars?
North Carolina Courage has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Stars won against North Carolina Courage?
Chicago Stars has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars were as follows:
29.09.2024
Chicago Stars
-
North Carolina Courage
1:3
23.06.2024
North Carolina Courage
-
Chicago Stars
3:1
27.08.2023
North Carolina Courage
-
Chicago Stars
1:1
10.06.2023
Chicago Stars
-
North Carolina Courage
0:5
Latest results of North Carolina Courage
Latest results of Chicago Stars
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:10 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Orlando Pride W | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Washington Spirit W | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns W | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gotham W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Bay FC W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
| 14 | Utah Royals W | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11:29 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
