Result
03/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Canada | TSN 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN 2, ESPN App, NWSL+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Chicago Stars
20.9% | Draw
25.5% | Portland Thorns
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Stars's form might have worsened.Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Thorns's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Thorns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(3.2) |
3.59 ↑
(3.2) |
1.71 ↓
(2.05) |
9.2%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
- Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Portland Thorns is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Portland Thorns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Portland Thorns is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:39. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Stars won against Portland Thorns?
Chicago Stars has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Thorns won against Chicago Stars?
Portland Thorns has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns were as follows:
14.09.2025
Chicago Stars
-
Portland Thorns
1:1
21.06.2025
Portland Thorns
-
Chicago Stars
1:0
13.09.2024
Portland Thorns
-
Chicago Stars
0:1
27.04.2024
Chicago Stars
-
Portland Thorns
0:2
18.06.2023
Chicago Stars
-
Portland Thorns
2:3
Latest results of Chicago Stars
Latest results of Portland Thorns
NWSL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portland Thorns W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Gotham W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Houston Dash W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Kansas City Current W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Denver Summit W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Boston Legacy W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
