Birmingham Legion vs North Carolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL).

USL Championship
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.24
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
88% (513/585)	85% (383/450)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.34	0.33
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
6	2
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
22	2
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
8	14
Passes
88% (513/585)	85% (383/450)
Long passes
44% (17/39)	41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
71% (99/140)	56% (28/50)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.17	0.09
Throw-ins
28	8
Fouls
14	8
Tackles
70% (7/10)	84% (16/19)
Duels won
41	43
Clearances
3	33
Interceptions
5	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.33	0.34
Goals prevented
-0.67	-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Forbes J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Washington B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
72', Pasher T. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
72', Daley A. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
72', McIllhatton S. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
76', Forbes J. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
81', Tregarthen S. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
81', McCartney D. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
89', Da Costa R. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Turnbull S. ⚽, Centeno E. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Birmingham Legion
42.1%

Draw
27.3%

North Carolina
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for North Carolina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)

Birmingham Legion - North Carolina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)	3.41 ↓ (3.54)	3.03 ↑ (3.01)	7.6% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - North Carolina?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: North Carolina will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Birmingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, North Carolina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against North Carolina?

Birmingham Legion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Birmingham Legion?

North Carolina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - North Carolina were as follows:

11.07.2025 North Carolina - Birmingham Legion 2:3

06.10.2024 Birmingham Legion - North Carolina 2:3

14.04.2024 North Carolina - Birmingham Legion 1:1

Latest results of Birmingham Legion

27.09.2025 San Antonio - Birmingham Legion 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4 ✺

06.09.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion 4:4 ✺

Latest results of North Carolina

26.09.2025 North Carolina - Miami 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 2:2 ✺

12.09.2025 North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive 1:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Lexington - North Carolina 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 North Carolina - Hartford Athletic 2:3 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina ✔	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Rhode Island	27	9	7	11	23:27	-4	34
9	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic ✔	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico ✔	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	27	6	7	14	20:46	-26	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )