Birmingham Legion vs North Carolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Birmingham Legion - North Carolina
Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.24
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
88% (513/585)85% (383/450)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.33
Total shots
136
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
814
Passes
88% (513/585)85% (383/450)
Long passes
44% (17/39)41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
71% (99/140)56% (28/50)
Crosses
30% (7/23)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.09
Throw-ins
288
Fouls
148
Tackles
70% (7/10)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
333
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.330.34
Goals prevented
-0.67-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Forbes J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Washington B. , Donovan C. ,
  • 72', Pasher T. , Preston T. ,
  • 72', Daley A. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 72', McIllhatton S. , Laszo E. ,
  • 76', Forbes J. , Servania J. ,
  • 81', Tregarthen S. , Rufe J. ,
  • 81', McCartney D. , Centeno E. ,
  • 89', Da Costa R. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Turnbull S. , Centeno E. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
42.1%
Draw
27.3%
North Carolina
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 26.1% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 25.3% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • The chances for North Carolina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Birmingham Legion - North Carolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.14)
    3.41
    (3.54)
    3.03
    (3.01)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - North Carolina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: North Carolina will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Birmingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, North Carolina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - North Carolina were as follows:
    11.07.2025 North Carolina - Birmingham Legion 2:3
    06.10.2024 Birmingham Legion - North Carolina 2:3
    14.04.2024 North Carolina - Birmingham Legion 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    Latest results of North Carolina
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 30227156:193773
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 301281032:28444
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 30169550:302057
    2New Mexico ✔ 301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )