Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (513/585) | 85% (383/450) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (513/585) | 85% (383/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (99/140) | 56% (28/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Forbes J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Washington B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 72', Pasher T. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 72', Daley A. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
- 72', McIllhatton S. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
- 76', Forbes J. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
- 81', Tregarthen S. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
- 81', McCartney D. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
- 89', Da Costa R. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Turnbull S. ⚽, Centeno E. (A),
Chances of winning
Birmingham Legion
42.1% | Draw
27.3% | North Carolina
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)The chances for North Carolina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)
Birmingham Legion - North Carolina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.14) |
3.41 ↓
(3.54) |
3.03 ↑
(3.01) |
7.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - North Carolina?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
North Carolina will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Birmingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, North Carolina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against North Carolina?
Birmingham Legion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Birmingham Legion?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - North Carolina were as follows:
11.07.2025
North Carolina
-
Birmingham Legion
2:3
06.10.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
North Carolina
2:3
14.04.2024
North Carolina
-
Birmingham Legion
1:1
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
Latest results of North Carolina
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
