Result
1:4 ET
06/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/376) | 88% (698/794) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/376) | 88% (698/794) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (26/72) | 55% (48/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (29/72) | 80% (242/304) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Diani D. 🟨,
- 35', Toklomati I. 🟨,
- 36', Tuiloma B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Washington B. 🟨,
- 76', Da Costa R. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
- 76', Burner P. ↓, Rafa Mentzingen ↑,
- 76', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
- 78', Toklomati I. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
- 86', Tavares I. ↓, Bronico B. ↑,
- 86', Smalls T. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 4)
- 97', 0 - 1, Abada L. ⚽, Scardina N. (A),
- 98', 1 - 1, Rafa Mentzingen ⚽,
- 102', Williamson E. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
- 104', 1 - 2, Agyemang P. ⚽, Diani D. (A),
- 105', Tuiloma B. ↓, Ream T. ↑,
- 105', Hodge T. ↓, Sundstrom F. ↑,
- 105', Scardina N. ↓, Neeley J. ↑,
- 105', Perez L. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
- 111', Marshall-Rutty J. 🟨,
- 119', 1 - 3, Petkovic N. ⚽, Calderon Vargas K. A. (A),
- 120+3', 1 - 4, Calderon Vargas K. A. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
- 120+4', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
North Carolina 26.9% | Draw 26.9% | Charlotte 46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina's form might have worsened.Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
North Carolina - Charlotte Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.46 ↑ (2.75) |
3.43 ↓ (3.7) |
1.99 ↓ (2.24) |
8.2% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for North Carolina - Charlotte?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, North Carolina has had a series of away games.
- Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Charlotte?
North Carolina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte won against North Carolina?
Charlotte has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Charlotte were as follows:
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Charlotte
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 5 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 7 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | New York City | |
| 13 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 15 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 21 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 23 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 24 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 25 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 26 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 29 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 31 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 37 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 39 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 40 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 41 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 42 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 45 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 47 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
| 49 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 53 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 55 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 56 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 57 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 58 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 61 | DC United | Bye | |
| 63 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 64 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | New York City | |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Dream | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Flint City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 11 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 12 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Lexington | Louisville City | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 0 : 4 |
| 17 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 19 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 20 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 4 |
| 22 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 23 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 24 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 27 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 28 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 31 | DC United | Bye | |
| 32 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Atlanta Utd | |
| 2 | Charlotte | Charlotte Independ. | |
| 3 | Westchester SC | New York City | |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | Pittsburgh | |
| 5 | Detroit | Chicago Fire | |
| 6 | St. Louis City | FC Tulsa | |
| 7 | Louisville City | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | El Paso | |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | Union Omaha | |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United | |
| 12 | San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising | |
| 13 | FC Naples | Orlando City | |
| 14 | New England Revolution | Rhode Island | |
| 15 | Richmond Kickers | Columbus Crew | |
| 16 | DC United | One Knoxville | |
1/8-finals