North Carolina vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
1:4 ET
06/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.612.96
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (290/376)88% (698/794)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.612.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.752.94
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1444
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
179
Passes
77% (290/376)88% (698/794)
Long passes
36% (26/72)55% (48/87)
Passes in final third
40% (29/72)80% (242/304)
Crosses
23% (3/13)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.292.48
Throw-ins
2526
Fouls
917
Tackles
64% (14/22)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5655
Clearances
4321
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.940.75
Goals prevented
-1.06-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Diani D. 🟨,
  • 35', Toklomati I. 🟨,
  • 36', Tuiloma B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Washington B. 🟨,
  • 76', Da Costa R. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
  • 76', Burner P. ↓, Rafa Mentzingen ↑,
  • 76', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
  • 78', Toklomati I. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
  • 86', Tavares I. ↓, Bronico B. ↑,
  • 86', Smalls T. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
  • Extra Time (1 - 4)
  • 97', 0 - 1, Abada L. ⚽, Scardina N. (A),
  • 98', 1 - 1, Rafa Mentzingen ⚽,
  • 102', Williamson E. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
  • 104', 1 - 2, Agyemang P. ⚽, Diani D. (A),
  • 105', Tuiloma B. ↓, Ream T. ↑,
  • 105', Hodge T. ↓, Sundstrom F. ↑,
  • 105', Scardina N. ↓, Neeley J. ↑,
  • 105', Perez L. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
  • 111', Marshall-Rutty J. 🟨,
  • 119', 1 - 3, Petkovic N. ⚽, Calderon Vargas K. A. (A),
  • 120+3', 1 - 4, Calderon Vargas K. A. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
  • 120+4', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


North Carolina
26.9%		Draw
26.9%		Charlotte
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 25% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 23.9% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina's form might have worsened.
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
    •

    North Carolina - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.46 ↑
    (2.75)    		 3.43 ↓
    (3.7)    		 1.99 ↓
    (2.24)    		 8.2%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for North Carolina - Charlotte?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, North Carolina has had a series of away games.
    • Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of North Carolina
    03.05.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina 0:2
    25.04.2025 North Carolina - Charlotte Independence 1:2
    19.04.2025 Miami - North Carolina 2:1
    15.04.2025 Charlotte Independence - North Carolina 1:3
    12.04.2025 New Mexico United - North Carolina 1:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    03.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Charlotte 4:2 ✺
    26.04.2025 Charlotte - New England Revolution 0:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 CF Montréal - Charlotte 0:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Charlotte - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1Steel CityPittsburgh
    2Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    3Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    4VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    5FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    6TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    7Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    8BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    9Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    10CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    11AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    12Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    13ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    14Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    15Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    16West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    17Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    18MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    19Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    20Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    21LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    22Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    23Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    24DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    25Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    26VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    27San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    28Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    29New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    30Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    31Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    32Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1TBD #1Virginia Dream
    2Asheville CityOne Knoxville
    3FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs
    4Indy ElevenUnion Omaha
    5Charlotte Independ.Charleston
    6Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic
    7ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo
    8Richmond KickersLoudoun
    9Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
    10Vermont GreenWestchester SC
    11LexingtonLouisville City
    12Flint CityDetroit
    13Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity
    14San AntonioFC Tulsa
    15New MexicoEl Paso
    16Orange County SCPhoenix Rising
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