Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (423/472) | 90% (523/582) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (423/472) | 90% (523/582) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (40/62) | 50% (16/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (133/168) | 80% (101/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Tagseth E. ⚽, Yazbek P. (A), Bauer J. (A2)
- 35', Muyl A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diani D. ↓, Bronico B. ↑,
- 46', Abada L. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
- 51', Muyl A. ↓, Mukhtar H. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Yazbek P. ⚽, Mukhtar H. (A),
- 64', Lovitz D. 🟨,
- 65', Toklomati I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
- 76', Madrigal W. ↓, Espinoza C. ↑,
- 76', Pacius W. ↓, Surridge S. ↑,
- 80', Qasem A. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
- 83', Toklomati I. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
- 83', Biel P. ↓, Aloko R. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Goodwin A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charlotte
38.7% | Draw
28.4% | Nashville SC
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-2%)
Charlotte - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.21) |
3.34 ↓
(3.42) |
2.89 ↓
(2.98) |
5.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charlotte - Nashville SC?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Charlotte (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Charlotte will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 2.
- Charlotte is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nashville has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Charlotte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Charlotte has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Charlotte: Kessler H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Zaha W.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Charlotte: Calderon Vargas K. A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nashville: Applewhite C.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte won against Nashville SC?
Charlotte has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Charlotte?
Nashville SC has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Nashville SC were as follows:
10.05.2025
Nashville SC
-
Charlotte
2:1
05.04.2025
Charlotte
-
Nashville SC
2:1
11.05.2024
Charlotte
-
Nashville SC
1:0
16.03.2024
Nashville SC
-
Charlotte
2:1
02.09.2023
Nashville SC
-
Charlotte
1:1
Latest results of Charlotte
Latest results of Nashville SC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 13 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | San Diego FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | New York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | DC United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:24 | -18 | 4 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
