North Carolina vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
1:4 ET
06/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.612.96
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (290/376)88% (698/794)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.612.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.752.94
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1444
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
179
Passes
77% (290/376)88% (698/794)
Long passes
36% (26/72)55% (48/87)
Passes in final third
40% (29/72)80% (242/304)
Crosses
23% (3/13)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.292.48
Throw-ins
2526
Fouls
917
Tackles
64% (14/22)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5655
Clearances
4321
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.940.75
Goals prevented
-1.06-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Diani D. 🟨,
  • 35', Toklomati I. 🟨,
  • 36', Tuiloma B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Washington B. 🟨,
  • 76', Da Costa R. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
  • 76', Burner P. ↓, Rafa Mentzingen ↑,
  • 76', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
  • 78', Toklomati I. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
  • 86', Tavares I. ↓, Bronico B. ↑,
  • 86', Smalls T. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
  • Extra Time (1 - 4)
  • 97', 0 - 1, Abada L. ⚽, Scardina N. (A),
  • 98', 1 - 1, Rafa Mentzingen ⚽,
  • 102', Williamson E. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
  • 104', 1 - 2, Agyemang P. ⚽, Diani D. (A),
  • 105', Tuiloma B. ↓, Ream T. ↑,
  • 105', Hodge T. ↓, Sundstrom F. ↑,
  • 105', Scardina N. ↓, Neeley J. ↑,
  • 105', Perez L. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
  • 111', Marshall-Rutty J. 🟨,
  • 119', 1 - 3, Petkovic N. ⚽, Calderon Vargas K. A. (A),
  • 120+3', 1 - 4, Calderon Vargas K. A. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
  • 120+4', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


North Carolina
26.9%		Draw
26.9%		Charlotte
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 25% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 23.9% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina's form might have worsened.
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
    •

    North Carolina - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.46 ↑
    (2.75)    		 3.43 ↓
    (3.7)    		 1.99 ↓
    (2.24)    		 8.2%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for North Carolina - Charlotte?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, North Carolina has had a series of away games.
    • Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of North Carolina
    03.05.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina 0:2
    25.04.2025 North Carolina - Charlotte Independence 1:2
    19.04.2025 Miami - North Carolina 2:1
    15.04.2025 Charlotte Independence - North Carolina 1:3
    12.04.2025 New Mexico United - North Carolina 1:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    03.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Charlotte 4:2 ✺
    26.04.2025 Charlotte - New England Revolution 0:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 CF Montréal - Charlotte 0:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Charlotte - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    2TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    4ByeOrlando City
    5New England RevolutionBye
    7Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    8MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    9ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    10Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    12ByeAtlanta Utd
    13CharlotteBye
    15Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    16CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    17Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    18West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    20ByeColumbus Crew
    21DC UnitedBye
    23Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    24VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    25Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    26Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    28ByeNew York City
    29New York Red BullsBye
    31Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    32Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    33Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    34DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    36ByeChicago Fire
    37St. Louis CityBye
    39San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    40Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    41LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    42Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    44ByeAustin FC
    45Houston DynamoBye
    47New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    48Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    49Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    50VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    52ByeSporting Kansas City
    53Colorado RapidsBye
    55Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    56BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    57AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    58Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    60ByeMinnesota United
    61San Jose EarthquakesBye
    63Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    64Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    2ByeOrlando City
    3New England RevolutionBye
    4Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    5ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    6ByeAtlanta Utd
    7CharlotteBye
    8Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    9Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    10ByeColumbus Crew
    11DC UnitedBye
    12Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2
    13Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    14ByeNew York City
    15New York Red BullsBye
    16PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    17Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    18ByeChicago Fire
    19St. Louis CityBye
    20San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    21LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    22ByeAustin FC
    23Houston DynamoBye
    24New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    25Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    26ByeSporting Kansas City
    27Colorado RapidsBye
    28Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    29Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    30ByeMinnesota United
    31San Jose EarthquakesBye
    32Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1FC NaplesOrlando City0 : 1
    2New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    3ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd1 : 3
    4CharlotteCharlotte Independ.6 : 0
    5Richmond KickersColumbus Crew0 : 3
    6DC UnitedOne Knoxville3 : 4
    7Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    8New York Red BullsPittsburgh3 : 1
    9DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    10St. Louis CityFC Tulsa4 : 0
    11Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    12Houston DynamoEl Paso4 : 1
    13Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    14Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    15Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United0 : 1
    16San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Orlando CityNew England Revolution4 : 3
    2Atlanta UtdCharlotte2 : 0
    3Columbus CrewOne Knoxville4 : 1
    4New York CityNew York Red Bulls3 : 1
    5Chicago FireSt. Louis City1 : 2
    6Louisville CityHouston Dynamo1 : 2
    7Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids2 : 3
    8Minnesota UnitedSan Jose Earthquakes2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Orlando CityAtlanta Utd
    2Columbus CrewNew York City
    3St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
    4Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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