North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


North Queensland Cowboys
20.9%
Draw
3.7%
Melbourne Storm
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 3.5% 69.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Queensland Cowboys's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.
  • North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.39
    (3.42)
    24.6
    (26.19)
    1.23
    (1.33)
    8.5%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 379:435. (average 19:21.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 189:169. (average 21:18.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    05.07.2025 North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm 20:26
    06.06.2025 Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys 38:14
    23.02.2025 Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys 24:36
    29.08.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm 38:30
    04.06.2023 North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm 45:20
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1New Zealand Warriors330120:366
    2Penrith Panthers33092:106
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22029:246
    4Melbourne Storm321112:424
    5Wests Tigers21160:364
    6Dolphins32186:644
    7South Sydney Rabbitohs32178:724
    8Newcastle Knights32176:724
    9Parramatta Eels32174:1044
    10Sydney Roosters42281:1164
    11Cronulla Sharks31266:742
    12NQ Cowboys31264:882
    13Brisbane Broncos31250:802
    14Canberra Raiders31245:822
    15Manly Sea Eagles30360:982
    16St. George Illawarra Dragons30354:910
    17Gold Coast Titans30340:980

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )