North Queensland Cowboys vs Penrith Panthers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers
Result
30:30 OT
10/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
germanyGermanySportdigital+

Match Stats

Tries
55
Conversion Goals
55
Conversion Goal Attempts
55
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
100100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
209223
Metres Run With Ball
17411868

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 18)
  • 6', Papali'i I. (Try),
  • 7', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Nanai J. (Try),
  • 17', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Garner L. (Try),
  • 24', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Garner L. (Try),
  • 30', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 35', Vailea V. (Try),
  • 36', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 12)
  • 46', Clifford J. (Try),
  • 47', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 53', Jenkins T. (Try),
  • 54', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Talagi B. (Try),
  • 67', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Derby R. (Try),
  • 73', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Dearden T. (Try),
  • 75', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


North Queensland Cowboys
37.4%
Draw
4%
Penrith Panthers
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 4.2% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 4.3% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Queensland Cowboys's form might have worsened.
  • Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrith Panthers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Queensland Cowboys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrith Panthers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (1.88)
    22.41
    (22)
    1.6
    (2)
    7.3%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Penrith (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Penrith Panthers will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 3.
    • North Queensland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Penrith has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Penrith could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 377:390. (average 18.9:19.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 164:155. (average 20.5:19.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys 18:22
    30.06.2024 Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys 6:16
    27.04.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers 20:26
    02.09.2023 Penrith Panthers - North Queensland Cowboys 44:12
    16.06.2023 North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers 27:23
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
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