North Queensland Cowboys vs Parramatta Eels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


North Queensland Cowboys
69.6%
Draw
4%
Parramatta Eels
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 3.6% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 3.8% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Queensland Cowboys that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Parramatta Eels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • North Queensland Cowboys - Parramatta Eels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.42)
    22.2
    (25.5)
    3.51
    (2.98)
    8.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 1.
    • North Queensland is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Parramatta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Parramatta has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, North Queensland is the team to beat.
    • We predict that North Queensland will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 474:374. (average 23.7:18.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 227:116. (average 28.4:14.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Queensland Cowboys - Parramatta Eels were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys 19:18
    13.04.2024 Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys 27:20
    22.07.2023 North Queensland Cowboys - Parramatta Eels 24:16
    26.05.2023 Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys 24:16
    23.09.2022 North Queensland Cowboys - Parramatta Eels 20:24
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers981291:12216
    2New Zealand Warriors972278:17014
    3Sydney Roosters862253:20214
    4South Sydney Rabbitohs853260:19212
    5Wests Tigers853219:17912
    6NQ Cowboys963239:22712
    7Manly Sea Eagles844227:17610
    8Cronulla Sharks844244:20810
    9Dolphins945228:20710
    10Brisbane Broncos954210:20910
    11Newcastle Knights954232:26210
    12Canberra Raiders945183:2498
    13Canterbury Bulldogs936157:2388
    14Gold Coast Titans826158:2046
    15Parramatta Eels936194:3156
    16Melbourne Storm927198:2604
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons808114:2650

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )