Result
1:3
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 17
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (318/414) | 78% (304/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (318/414) | 78% (304/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (31/76) | 30% (18/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (81/129) | 66% (92/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Colwill J. ⚽, Kpakio R. (A),
- 19', Colwill R. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 20', Fish W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Colwill J. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Wheatley E. ⚽, Forbes M. (A),
- 58', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 58', Colwill J. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
- 58', Kellyman O. ↓, Ng P. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Wheatley E. (Own goal),
- 72', Eaves T. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 72', Fornah T. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 81', Fish W. ↓, Osho G. ↑,
- 90+1', Burroughs J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Willock C. ⚽, Kpakio R. (A),
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
27.3% | Draw
25.8% | Cardiff City
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Northampton Town - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(3.21) |
3.64 ↑
(3.63) |
2.04 ↓
(2.07) |
5.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.
- Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Hoskins S.
(Injury)
Vale J.
(Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Ng P.
(Inactive)
Tanner O.
(Ankle Injury)
Willock C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Dyche M.
(Inactive)
Guinness-Walker N.
(Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Parfitt T.
(Injury)
Pearce L.
(Injury)
Perrett T.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Cardiff City?
Northampton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Northampton Town?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Cardiff City were as follows:
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
