Result
1:1
11/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Hartlepool United
25.7% | Draw
29.3% | Northampton Town
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
Hartlepool United - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↓
(4.44) |
3.2 ↓
(3.28) |
2.09 ↑
(1.94) |
6.4%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Northampton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
- Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (37.21%), has project points - 39, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Northampton has the most likely position - 3 (15.78%), has project points - 78, has currently - 59, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
- This event has very small quality 7, importance 61, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1.
- Hartlepool is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Hartlepool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Northampton will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Northampton Town?
Hartlepool United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Hartlepool United?
Northampton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Northampton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Hartlepool United
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
