Hartlepool United vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Hartlepool United - Northampton Town
Result
1:1
11/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartlepool United
25.7%
Draw
29.3%
Northampton Town
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 29.2% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 28.8% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Hartlepool United - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (4.44)
    3.2
    (3.28)
    2.09
    (1.94)
    6.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Northampton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
    • Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (37.21%), has project points - 39, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Northampton has the most likely position - 3 (15.78%), has project points - 78, has currently - 59, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
    • This event has very small quality 7, importance 61, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1.
    • Hartlepool is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Hartlepool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Northampton will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
    Latest results of Hartlepool United
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League