Result
1:1
11/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Hartlepool United
25.7% | Draw
29.3% | Northampton Town
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
Hartlepool United - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↓
(4.44) |
3.2 ↓
(3.28) |
2.09 ↑
(1.94) |
6.4%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Northampton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
- Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (37.21%), has project points - 39, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Northampton has the most likely position - 3 (15.78%), has project points - 78, has currently - 59, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
- This event has very small quality 7, importance 61, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1.
- Hartlepool is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Hartlepool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Northampton will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Northampton Town?
Hartlepool United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Hartlepool United?
Northampton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Northampton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Hartlepool United
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
