Result
1:1
11/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Hartlepool United
25.7% | Draw
29.3% | Northampton Town
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
Hartlepool United - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↓
(4.44) |
3.2 ↓
(3.28) |
2.09 ↑
(1.94) |
6.4%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Northampton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
- Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (37.21%), has project points - 39, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Northampton has the most likely position - 3 (15.78%), has project points - 78, has currently - 59, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
- This event has very small quality 7, importance 61, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1.
- Hartlepool is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Hartlepool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Northampton will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Northampton Town?
Hartlepool United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Hartlepool United?
Northampton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Northampton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Hartlepool United
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Swindon | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Salford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Walsall | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Bromley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Crewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Barnet | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 17 | Harrogate | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Crawley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Barrow | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 22 | Newport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
