Newport County vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
07/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 40
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Newport County
35%
Draw
31.5%
Northampton Town
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 32.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 34.3% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Newport County - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.55)
    2.98
    (2.9)
    2.8
    (3)
    6.7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Newport County - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Newport has the most likely position - 16 (14.99%), project points - 55, currently - 44, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (33.32%), project points - 81, currently - 70, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), a good chance of promoted (72%), a small chance of win league (7%).
    • This event has small quality 11, importance 50, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 0.
    • Recent matches Newport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Northampton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Northampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Newport won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-20.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Northampton Town were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Northampton Town - Newport County 1:1
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley331811456:342265
    2Cambridge Utd33189648:262263
    3MK Dons331710662:332961
    4Notts Co33187852:322061
    5Swindon341941156:401661
    6Crewe341581150:401053
    7Chesterfield331314652:43953
    8Salford321641245:43252
    9Barnet3413111043:37650
    10Walsall321481040:35550
    11Colchester321310948:341449
    12Grimsby321310945:37849
    13Accrington331371336:34246
    14Fleetwood321281243:42144
    15Oldham311012934:30442
    16Gillingham3210111140:41-141
    17Shrewsbury341081633:52-1938
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere33981645:57-1235
    20Bristol Rovers33932132:56-2430
    21Crawley346101833:54-2128
    22Barrow32761933:50-1727
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport33662132:60-2824

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League