Result
1:3
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Baines D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (287/379) | 75% (254/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (287/379) | 75% (254/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (29/76) | 32% (23/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 63% (82/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Burroughs J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 0 - 1, Lee E. ⚽,
- 57', 0 - 2, Adelakun H. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
- 59', Campbell D. 🟨,
- 64', Jacobs M. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 64', Eaves T. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 69', Lo-Tutala T. 🟨,
- 69', Guinness-Walker N. 🟨,
- 73', Burroughs J. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
- 73', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
- 73', Campbell D. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 75', Clifton H. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
- 82', Molyneux L. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
- 82', Lee E. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
- 86', Evans J. 🟨,
- 90', Adelakun H. ↓, Close B. ↑,
- 90+1', List E. 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Broadbent G. ⚽, Hanlan B. (A),
- 90+5', Gotts R. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, McGeehan C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
22.1% | Draw
25.3% | Doncaster Rovers
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Northampton Town - Doncaster Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.24 ↑
(3.24) |
3.72 ↑
(3.3) |
1.8 ↓
(2.09) |
6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Doncaster Rovers?
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Doncaster Rovers will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
- Northampton is Relegated to League Two
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
- Northampton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Doncaster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Doncaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Doncaster is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Doncaster: Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sharp B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Byrne N.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Doncaster will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Doncaster Rovers?
Northampton Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Northampton Town?
Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
18.10.2025
Doncaster Rovers
-
Northampton Town
1:2
25.03.2023
Doncaster Rovers
-
Northampton Town
0:2
27.08.2022
Northampton Town
-
Doncaster Rovers
0:1
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
