Reading vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Reading - Northampton Town
Result
1:0
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.33
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
71% (292/409)63% (198/313)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.26
Total shots
145
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
99
Passes
71% (292/409)63% (198/313)
Long passes
33% (23/70)21% (18/86)
Passes in final third
63% (107/170)41% (43/104)
Crosses
21% (7/34)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.53
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
99
Tackles
60% (12/20)43% (3/7)
Duels won
6738
Clearances
3941
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.260.69
Goals prevented
0.26-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Ritchie M. , Kyerewaa D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Williams D. 🟨,
  • 64', Elliott B. , Doyle K. ,
  • 64', Abrefa K. , Yiadom A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Ehibhatiomhan K. , Lane P. (A),
  • 72', Willis J. , Wormleighton J. ,
  • 72', Jacobs M. , Swyer K. ,
  • 75', Lane P. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 75', Williams D. , Dorsett A. J. R. ,
  • 87', Jacob M. 🟨,
  • 88', Fornah T. , Perkins J. ,
  • 89', Guinness-Walker N. , Edwards K. ,
  • 90+2', Kyerewaa D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
46.7%
Draw
28.9%
Northampton Town
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.5% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 24.8% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Reading - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.86)
    3.29
    (3.6)
    3.91
    (3.64)
    3.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Reading - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Northampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Reading will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Reading: Lane P. (Injury) O'Connor P. (Calf Injury) Okine-Peters J. (Injury) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Northampton: Guinness-Walker N. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Jacobs M. (Knock) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Swyer K. (Knock)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Northampton Town were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Northampton Town - Reading 0:0
    26.12.2024 Reading - Northampton Town 4:1
    29.03.2024 Reading - Northampton Town 1:0
    03.10.2023 Northampton Town - Reading 3:1
    Latest results of Reading
    18.10.2025 Cardiff City - Reading 2:1
    11.10.2025 Exeter City - Reading 1:1
    04.10.2025 Reading - Mansfield Town 1:1
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two