Result
0:2
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 30
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (209/291) | 77% (332/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (209/291) | 77% (332/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 37% (32/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (54/90) | 44% (50/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (10/42) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 29% (2/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Guthrie J. ↓, Moore E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Savage C. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
- 57', Moore E. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Keane W. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
- 62', Savage C. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
- 63', Perkins J. ↓, McGeehan C. ↑,
- 63', McCarthy C. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 67', McGeehan C. 🟨,
- 75', Lane P. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 75', Doyle K. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 78', Swyer K. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
- 78', List E. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 89', Nyambe R. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
- 89', Keane W. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
- 90+2', Yiadom A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Roberts H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
31.9% | Draw
28.4% | Reading
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Northampton Town - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↓
(2.97) |
3.29 ↑
(3.2) |
2.36 ↑
(2.29) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Reading?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Reading will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 35.2% – 84.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Reading (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 13).
- Northampton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Reading has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Reading has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Fornah T.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Forbes M.
(Inactive)
McGeehan C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Williams D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Reading?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Northampton Town?
Reading has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Reading were as follows:
21.10.2025
Reading
-
Northampton Town
1:0
12.04.2025
Northampton Town
-
Reading
0:0
26.12.2024
Reading
-
Northampton Town
4:1
29.03.2024
Reading
-
Northampton Town
1:0
03.10.2023
Northampton Town
-
Reading
3:1
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
