Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 27
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (180/273) | 57% (152/269) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (180/273) | 57% (152/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/68) | 29% (20/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (45/88) | 43% (44/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 42% (10/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Allen T. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Onyedinma F. ⚽, Casey D. (A),
- 20', Wormleighton J. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Guthrie J. ⚽, Eaves T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Edwards K. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 58', Taylor T. 🟨,
- 61', Wormleighton J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 61', Dyche M. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Onyedinma F. ⚽, Boyd-Munce C. (A),
- 70', Huggins N. ↓, Grimmer J. ↑,
- 75', List E. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
- 76', Mullins J. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
- 83', Woodrow C. 🟨,
- 84', Woodrow C. ↓, Fink B. ↑,
- 89', Harvie D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
26.8% | Draw
27.8% | Wycombe Wanderers
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.47 ↑
(3.28) |
3.33 ↓
(3.34) |
2.07 ↓
(2.15) |
7.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Wycombe will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wycombe: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wycombe (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Wycombe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wycombe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Forbes M.
(Inactive)
Fornah T.
(Inactive)
McGeehan C.
(Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wheatley E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wycombe: Grimmer J.
(Lower Back Injury)
Henderson E.
(Inactive)
Scowen J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Wycombe Wanderers?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wycombe Wanderers won against Northampton Town?
Wycombe Wanderers has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers were as follows:
02.12.2025
Northampton Town
-
Wycombe Wanderers
2:0
20.09.2025
Wycombe Wanderers
-
Northampton Town
2:0
25.01.2025
Wycombe Wanderers
-
Northampton Town
0:0
14.09.2024
Northampton Town
-
Wycombe Wanderers
1:2
13.08.2024
Northampton Town
-
Wycombe Wanderers
0:2
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
