Norway W vs Italy W, UEFA Euro Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro Women Norway W - Italy W
Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaRTSH Sport
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumBNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaBNT 1, BNT 3
canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN 4, TSN+
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusRIK 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3, Viaplay
estoniaEstoniaETV 2
finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
franceFranceFrance 3, Free, Molotov TV, TMC
georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceERT 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
icelandIcelandRUV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyRAI 2, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
maltaMaltaTVM+, TVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
moldovaMoldovaTVR Moldova
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, Sporza
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMRT 1
norwayNorwayTV2, TV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
serbiaSerbiaRTS 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSlovenia TV2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainRTVE Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.282.03
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
77% (287/373)78% (297/380)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.282.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.302.06
Total shots
913
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
210
Passes
77% (287/373)78% (297/380)
Long passes
38% (20/52)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
63% (60/95)64% (54/84)
Crosses
22% (4/18)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.13
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
102
Tackles
75% (12/16)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
2129
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
2.060.30
Goals prevented
0.06-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Naalsund L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Girelli C. , Cantore S. (A),
  • 58', Linari E. 🟨,
  • 59', Soncin A. 🟨,
  • 60', Hegerberg A. (Pen),
  • 64', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. , Terland E. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Hegerberg A. , Mjelde M. (A),
  • 77', Severini E. , Greggi G. ,
  • 77', Bonansea B. , Cambiaghi M. ,
  • 87', Bjelde T. , Woldvik E. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Girelli C. , Cantore S. (A),
  • 90+2', Cantore S. , Lenzini M. ,
  • 90+2', Girelli C. , Piemonte M. ,

Chances of winning


Norway W
34%
Draw
29.6%
Italy W
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28.6% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 29.5% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norway W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway W than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy W than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Norway W - Italy W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.5)
    3.2
    (3.39)
    2.61
    (2.97)
    5.4%
    (3.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Norway W - Italy W?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Norway will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Italy will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 55.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Norway (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Italy (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Norway is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Italy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Norway won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norway W - Italy W were as follows:
    04.06.2024 Italy W - Norway W 1:1
    31.05.2024 Norway W - Italy W 0:0
    Latest results of Norway W
    10.07.2025 Norway W - Iceland W 4:3
    06.07.2025 Norway W - Finland W 2:1
    02.07.2025 Switzerland W - Norway W 1:2
    26.06.2025 Norway W - Sweden W 0:2
    03.06.2025 Switzerland W - Norway W 0:1
    Latest results of Italy W
    11.07.2025 Italy W - Spain W 1:3
    07.07.2025 Portugal W - Italy W 1:1
    03.07.2025 Belgium W - Italy W 0:1
    03.06.2025 Wales W - Italy W 1:4
    30.05.2025 Italy W - Sweden W 0:0
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1