Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 33
- Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (401/500) | 74% (230/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (401/500) | 74% (230/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (28/61) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (119/164) | 49% (38/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Vicente C. ⚽, Osayi-Samuel B. (A),
- 14', 0 - 2, Ducksch M. ⚽, Priske A. (A),
- 39', Klarer C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gibbs L. ↓, Maghoma P. ↑,
- 62', Gray D. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, McLean K. ⚽, Toure M. (A),
- 71', Ducksch M. ↓, Stansfield J. ↑,
- 71', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
- 71', Toure M. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
- 78', Priske A. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 78', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
- 83', Chrisene B. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
- 90', Ahmed A. ↓, Springett T. ↑,
- 90', Cordoba J. ↓, Darling H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Norwich City
37.4% | Draw
27.9% | Birmingham City
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Norwich City - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(2.7) |
3.41 ↓
(3.46) |
2.74 ↑
(2.51) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 30% – 70%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Norwich (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Norwich (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Norwich (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Norwich (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
- Norwich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Birmingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Norwich: Amass H.
(Injury)
Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Duffy S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Jurasek M.
(Foot Injury)
Mattsson P.
(Ankle Injury)
Schlupp J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Cochrane A.
(Ankle Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robinson J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Paik Seung-Ho
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Birmingham City?
Norwich City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Norwich City?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Birmingham City were as follows:
22.11.2025
Birmingham City
-
Norwich City
4:1
04.05.2024
Birmingham City
-
Norwich City
1:0
30.09.2023
Norwich City
-
Birmingham City
2:0
21.02.2023
Norwich City
-
Birmingham City
3:1
30.08.2022
Birmingham City
-
Norwich City
1:2
Latest results of Norwich City
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
