Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 30
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (384/478) | 75% (281/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (384/478) | 75% (281/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (99/140) | 54% (52/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Hackney H. ⚽, McGree R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Kovacevic V. 🟨,
- 59', Wright J. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
- 59', Diallo P. A. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
- 62', McGree R. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
- 71', Brittain C. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
- 71', Whittaker M. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
- 72', Strelec D. 🟨,
- 80', Slimane A. 🟨,
- 81', Morris A. 🟨,
- 82', Ahmed A. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
- 86', Conway T. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
55.2% | Draw
23.9% | Norwich City
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Middlesbrough - Norwich City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.73) |
3.97 ↓
(4.14) |
4.57 ↑
(4.27) |
5.4%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Norwich City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Norwich (3.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Norwich (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Norwich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Middlesbrough is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Edmundson G.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Norwich: Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Duffy S.
(Inactive)
Forson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Schlupp J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Jones A.
(Injury)
Sarmiento J.
(Inactive)
Sene M. K.
(Inactive)
Strelec D.
(Inactive)
Targett M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Middlesbrough will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Norwich City?
Middlesbrough has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Middlesbrough?
Norwich City has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Norwich City were as follows:
23.08.2025
Norwich City
-
Middlesbrough
1:2
26.04.2025
Middlesbrough
-
Norwich City
0:0
27.10.2024
Norwich City
-
Middlesbrough
3:3
06.03.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Norwich City
3:1
24.10.2023
Norwich City
-
Middlesbrough
1:2
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Norwich City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
