Middlesbrough vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
40.8%
Draw
28.8%
Southampton
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 28.7% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 28.2% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Middlesbrough - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.26)
    3.26
    (3.29)
    3.1
    (3.21)
    6.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • S`hampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • S`hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Middlesbrough might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Southampton were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Middlesbrough - Southampton 4:0
    27.09.2025 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1
    29.03.2024 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1
    23.09.2023 Middlesbrough - Southampton 2:1
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry ✔ 462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton ✔ 4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd ✔ 4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester ✔ 4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
    Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
    Leicester is Relegated to League One
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One