Millwall vs Norwich City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandV Sport Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.922.19
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
25
Passes
65% (207/319)73% (272/374)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.922.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.312.84
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1423
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free kicks
712
Passes
65% (207/319)73% (272/374)
Long passes
40% (23/58)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
48% (56/116)59% (60/102)
Crosses
21% (4/19)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.531.37
Throw ins
3322
Fouls
127
Tackles
42% (5/12)50% (2/4)
Duels won
4840
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.840.31
Goals prevented
0.84-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Cordoba J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kvistgaarden M. , Toure M. ,
  • 46', Cundle L. , Ivanovic M. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. , De Norre C. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 1, Mattsson P. , Toure M. (A),
  • 67', Slimane A. , Schwartau O. ,
  • 67', Fisher K. , Chrisene B. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Schwartau O. , Toure M. (A),
  • 80', De Norre C. , Watson T. ,
  • 87', Sturge Z. , Bryan J. ,
  • 87', Bannan B. , Mazou-Sacko D. ,
  • 88', Bryan J. 🟨,
  • 88', Schwartau O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Millwall
44.5%
Draw
27.2%
Norwich City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 26.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 26.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Millwall - Norwich City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.11)
    3.49
    (3.5)
    3.32
    (3.21)
    5.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Millwall - Norwich City?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Norwich will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 48.9%92.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Norwich (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Millwall will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 50%). Norwich (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Norwich: Amass H. (Hamstring Injury) Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Duffy S. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Jurasek M. (Foot Injury) Mahovo L. (Hamstring Injury) Makama J. (Foot Injury) McConville R. (Inactive) Topic M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Doughty A. (Calf Injury) Leonard R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Norwich City were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1
    26.12.2024 Norwich City - Millwall 2:1
    29.12.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 1:0
    20.08.2023 Norwich City - Millwall 3:1
    Latest results of Millwall
    03.04.2026 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:2
    21.03.2026 Ipswich Town - Millwall 1:1
    10.03.2026 Millwall - Derby County 1:0
    07.03.2026 Hull City - Millwall 1:3
    Latest results of Norwich City
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One