Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 41
- Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | V Sport Premium |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (207/319) | 73% (272/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 2.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (207/319) | 73% (272/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/58) | 32% (23/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (56/116) | 59% (60/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 50% (2/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Cordoba J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 46', Cundle L. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. ⚽, De Norre C. (A),
- 62', 1 - 1, Mattsson P. ⚽, Toure M. (A),
- 67', Slimane A. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
- 67', Fisher K. ↓, Chrisene B. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Schwartau O. ⚽, Toure M. (A),
- 80', De Norre C. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 87', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
- 87', Bannan B. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 88', Bryan J. 🟨,
- 88', Schwartau O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millwall 44.5% | Draw 27.2% | Norwich City 28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Millwall - Norwich City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↑ (2.11) |
3.49 ↓ (3.5) |
3.32 ↑ (3.21) |
5.8% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Millwall - Norwich City?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Norwich will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 48.9% – 92.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Norwich (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 50%). Norwich (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Norwich: Amass H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Duffy S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Jurasek M.
(Foot Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Makama J.
(Foot Injury)
McConville R.
(Inactive)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Doughty A.
(Calf Injury)
Leonard R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Norwich: Schlupp J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Norwich City?
Millwall has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Millwall?
Norwich City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Norwich City were as follows:
09.08.2025
Norwich City
-
Millwall
1:2
21.04.2025
Millwall
-
Norwich City
3:1
26.12.2024
Norwich City
-
Millwall
2:1
29.12.2023
Millwall
-
Norwich City
1:0
20.08.2023
Norwich City
-
Millwall
3:1
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Norwich City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One