Millwall vs Norwich City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandV Sport Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.922.19
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
25
Passes
65% (207/319)73% (272/374)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.922.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.312.84
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1423
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free kicks
712
Passes
65% (207/319)73% (272/374)
Long passes
40% (23/58)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
48% (56/116)59% (60/102)
Crosses
21% (4/19)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.531.37
Throw ins
3322
Fouls
127
Tackles
42% (5/12)50% (2/4)
Duels won
4840
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.840.31
Goals prevented
0.84-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Cordoba J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kvistgaarden M. , Toure M. ,
  • 46', Cundle L. , Ivanovic M. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. , De Norre C. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 1, Mattsson P. , Toure M. (A),
  • 67', Slimane A. , Schwartau O. ,
  • 67', Fisher K. , Chrisene B. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Schwartau O. , Toure M. (A),
  • 80', De Norre C. , Watson T. ,
  • 87', Sturge Z. , Bryan J. ,
  • 87', Bannan B. , Mazou-Sacko D. ,
  • 88', Bryan J. 🟨,
  • 88', Schwartau O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Millwall
44.5%
Draw
27.2%
Norwich City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 26.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 26.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Millwall - Norwich City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.11)
    3.49
    (3.5)
    3.32
    (3.21)
    5.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Millwall - Norwich City?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Norwich will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 48.9%92.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Norwich (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 50%). Norwich (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Norwich: Amass H. (Hamstring Injury) Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Duffy S. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Jurasek M. (Foot Injury) Mahovo L. (Hamstring Injury) Makama J. (Foot Injury) McConville R. (Inactive) Topic M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Doughty A. (Calf Injury) Leonard R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Norwich City were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1
    26.12.2024 Norwich City - Millwall 2:1
    29.12.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 1:0
    20.08.2023 Norwich City - Millwall 3:1
    Latest results of Millwall
    03.04.2026 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:2
    21.03.2026 Ipswich Town - Millwall 1:1
    10.03.2026 Millwall - Derby County 1:0
    07.03.2026 Hull City - Millwall 1:3
    Latest results of Norwich City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One