Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 7
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (381/454) | 73% (252/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (381/454) | 73% (252/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 42% (33/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (78/111) | 46% (32/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 70% (21/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Makama J. ⚽, Stacey J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Thomas S. ⚽,
- 54', Makama J. ↓, Crnac A. ↑,
- 68', Schwartau O. ↓, Schlupp J. ↑,
- 74', Darling H. 🟨,
- 76', McLean K. 🟨,
- 82', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 89', Gibbs L. ↓, Topic M. ↑,
- 89', Rigo T. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
- 90+2', Fisher K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stoke City
49.4% | Draw
25.9% | Norwich City
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+2%)
Stoke City - Norwich City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2) |
3.65
(3.65) |
3.84 ↑
(3.5) |
5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Norwich City?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Norwich will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 0.
- Stoke has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Norwich has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
N'Zonzi S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Kvistgaarden M.
(Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Knee Injury)
Myles E.
(Injury)
Schlupp J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Norwich: Diallo P. A.
(Injury)
Duffy S.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Norwich City?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Stoke City?
Norwich City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Norwich City were as follows:
22.02.2025
Norwich City
-
Stoke City
4:2
19.10.2024
Stoke City
-
Norwich City
1:1
16.03.2024
Stoke City
-
Norwich City
0:3
16.09.2023
Norwich City
-
Stoke City
1:0
18.03.2023
Stoke City
-
Norwich City
0:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Norwich City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
