Result
0:2
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 26
- Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Variety 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 8 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (340/428) | 74% (289/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (340/428) | 74% (289/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 35% (24/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/91) | 56% (50/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Lawal B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mubama D. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 60', Jurasek M. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
- 60', Mahovo L. ↓, Chrisene B. ↑,
- 61', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 61', Rigo T. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 68', Wright J. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
- 72', Pearson B. 🟨,
- 75', 0 - 1, Gallagher S. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
- 82', 0 - 2, Thomas S. ⚽, Manhoef M. (A),
- 85', Fisher K. 🟨,
- 89', Fisher K. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
- 89', Sargent J. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
- 90', Pearson B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Norwich City
47.9% | Draw
26.5% | Stoke City
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norwich City's performance.Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stoke City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Norwich City - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.58) |
3.58 ↑
(3.48) |
3.69 ↑
(2.5) |
5.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 27 - 75%). Stoke will win (votes: 7 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 60.9% – 89.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Norwich City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
- Norwich is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Stoke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Norwich might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Norwich: Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Duffy S.
(Inactive)
Forson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Schlupp J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Baker L.
(Ankle Injury)
Bocat E.
(Inactive)
Cresswell A.
(Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Stoke City?
Norwich City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Norwich City?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Stoke City were as follows:
27.09.2025
Stoke City
-
Norwich City
1:1
22.02.2025
Norwich City
-
Stoke City
4:2
19.10.2024
Stoke City
-
Norwich City
1:1
16.03.2024
Stoke City
-
Norwich City
0:3
16.09.2023
Norwich City
-
Stoke City
1:0
Latest results of Norwich City
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
