Stoke City vs Norwich City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Stoke City - Norwich City
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 7
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.32
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
84% (381/454)73% (252/344)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.75
Total shots
236
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
3213
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
911
Passes
84% (381/454)73% (252/344)
Long passes
53% (28/53)42% (33/79)
Passes in final third
70% (78/111)46% (32/69)
Crosses
26% (9/34)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.561.04
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
119
Tackles
41% (7/17)70% (21/30)
Duels won
5565
Clearances
945
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.751.30
Goals prevented
0.750.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Makama J. , Stacey J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Thomas S. ,
  • 54', Makama J. , Crnac A. ,
  • 68', Schwartau O. , Schlupp J. ,
  • 74', Darling H. 🟨,
  • 76', McLean K. 🟨,
  • 82', Manhoef M. , Cisse L. ,
  • 89', Gibbs L. , Topic M. ,
  • 89', Rigo T. , N'Zonzi S. ,
  • 90+2', Fisher K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stoke City
49.4%
Draw
25.9%
Norwich City
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 25.9% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 25.6% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Stoke City - Norwich City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2)
    3.65
    (3.65)
    3.84
    (3.5)
    5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Stoke City - Norwich City?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Norwich will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8%64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 0.
    • Stoke has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Norwich has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury) N'Zonzi S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Hamstring Injury) Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Kvistgaarden M. (Injury) Mahovo L. (Knee Injury) Myles E. (Injury) Schlupp J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Diallo P. A. (Injury) Duffy S. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Norwich City were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Norwich City - Stoke City 4:2
    19.10.2024 Stoke City - Norwich City 1:1
    16.03.2024 Stoke City - Norwich City 0:3
    16.09.2023 Norwich City - Stoke City 1:0
    18.03.2023 Stoke City - Norwich City 0:0
    Latest results of Stoke City
    Latest results of Norwich City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One