Notaresco vs UniPomezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Russo F. ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Infantino S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90', 1 - 2, D'Alessandris G. ,

Chances of winning


Notaresco
48.7%
Draw
27.9%
UniPomezia
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 26.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 25.8% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notaresco's performance.
  • UniPomezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UniPomezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notaresco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UniPomezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notaresco - UniPomezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.27)
    3.23
    (3.38)
    3.87
    (2.76)
    10.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Notaresco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • UniPomezia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Notaresco might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - UniPomezia were as follows:
    19.11.2025 Notaresco - UniPomezia 0:1
    Latest results of Notaresco
    04.01.2026 Notaresco - Recanatese 2:0
    21.12.2025 Notaresco - Ancona 1:1
    07.12.2025 Notaresco - Termoli 1:1
    Latest results of UniPomezia
    11.01.2026 UniPomezia - Fossombrone 1:2
    04.01.2026 Teramo - UniPomezia 2:1
    14.12.2025 UniPomezia - Sora 0:0
    07.12.2025 Maceratese - UniPomezia 2:1
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation