Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Villa Park (Birmingham).

: Premier League - Round 31
Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.52	1.20
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
17	19
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
85% (369/433)	85% (321/378)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.74	0.77
Total shots
17	19
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
6	14
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
13	10
Shots outside the Box
4	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
29	19
Through passes
67% (2/3)	33% (1/3)
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
85% (369/433)	85% (321/378)
Long passes
48% (29/60)	50% (22/44)
Passes in final third
71% (91/129)	83% (90/109)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	0.59
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
50% (7/14)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
42	41
Clearances Total
11	23
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.77	2.74
Goals prevented
-0.23	0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rogers M. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Malen D. ⚽, Maatsen I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcia A. ↓, Konsa E. ↑,
46', Elanga A. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
49', Morato 🟨,
51', Asensio M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Jota Silva ⚽, Williams N. (A),
62', Watkins O. ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
62', Malen D. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
62', Onana A. ↓, Kamara B. ↑,
73', Jota Silva 🟨,
73', Asensio M. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
74', Dominguez N. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
75', Morato ↓, Boly W. ↑,
86', Martinez E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3m3uzz3k

Chances of winning

Aston Villa
46.6%

Draw
27.4%

Nottingham Forest
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.99)	3.54 ↓ (3.76)	3.74 ↑ (3.73)	3.8% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : NBC Universo

What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest?

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 27 - 56.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 15 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 42.3% – 70.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Nottingham (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 2.
During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.
Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Aston Villa have a series of guest games.
Aston Villa will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Knock)
There are questionable in Nottingham: Wood Ch. (Hip Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:21 (average 1.9:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:10 (average 3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Nottingham Forest?

Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Aston Villa?

Nottingham Forest has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest were as follows:

14.12.2024 Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa 2:1

24.02.2024 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 4:2

05.11.2023 Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa 2:0

08.04.2023 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:0

10.10.2022 Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa 1:1

Latest results of Aston Villa

02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

30.03.2025 Preston North End - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

20.03.2025 Al Ain - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺

12.03.2025 Aston Villa - Club Brugge 3:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Nottingham Forest

01.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester United 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest 2:4 ✺

08.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:0 ✺

03.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town 2:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia