Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 6
  • Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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peruPeruDisney+
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serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
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worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.19
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
90% (510/567)80% (246/306)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.87
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3822
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
611
Passes
90% (510/567)80% (246/306)
Long passes
63% (25/40)52% (32/62)
Passes in final third
84% (168/199)64% (46/72)
Crosses
21% (9/42)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.68
Throw-ins
2413
Fouls
116
Tackles
56% (9/16)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4438
Clearances
2041
Interceptions
16
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.872.16
Goals prevented
-0.132.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Sadiki N. 🟨,
  • 31', Masuaku A. 🟨,
  • 36', Dominguez N. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Alderete O. , Xhaka G. (A),
  • 38', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dominguez N. , Gibbs-White M. ,
  • 49', Williams N. 🟨,
  • 59', Rigg C. , Traore B. ,
  • 59', Masuaku A. , Geertruida L. ,
  • 60', McAtee J. , Igor Jesus ,
  • 60', Ndoye D. , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 72', Bakwa D. , Hutchinson O. ,
  • 75', Le Fee E. , Ballard D. ,
  • 82', Anderson E. 🟨,
  • 85', Isidor W. , Brobbey B. ,
  • 85', Talbi C. , Adingra S. ,
  • 90', Wood Ch. , Kalimuendo A. ,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
44.3%
Draw
29.5%
Sunderland
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.1% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 27.6% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.
  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nottingham Forest - Sunderland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (1.78)
    3.65
    (3.67)
    4.05
    (4.72)
    -9.7%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Sunderland?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 37 - 66.1%). Sunderland will win (votes: 11 - 19.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 53.7%78.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Nottingham (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Nottingham (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Nottingham (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 27 - 90%). Sunderland (votes: 3 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
    • Recent form of Nottingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sunderland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nottingham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Murillo (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sunderland: O'Nien L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Sunderland were as follows:
    19.07.2024 Nottingham Forest - Sunderland 1:1
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Latest results of Sunderland
    21.09.2025 Sunderland - Aston Villa 1:1
    30.08.2025 Sunderland - Brentford 2:1
    23.08.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 2:0
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