Result
4:1
19/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 33
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Bangladesh | Toffee Live |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3 |
 Hungary | Spiler2 TV |
 Iceland | SÝN, SÝN Sport 4 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 3 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Action, SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2 |
 Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Setanta Sports |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 5, CANAL+ Sport 5 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport Action |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | NBCSN, NBC, Peacock |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (389/475) | 82% (373/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (389/475) | 82% (373/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/111) | 63% (66/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -2.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', Murillo ↓, Cunha ↑,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Bakwa D. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽,
- 64', Edwards M. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Hutchinson O. (A),
- 75', Florentino 🟨,
- 76', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
- 76', Wood Ch. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Yates R. (A),
- 80', Walker K. 🟨,
- 83', Anthony J. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
- 84', Florentino ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
- 84', Flemming Z. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
- 88', Hutchinson O. ↓, Morato ↑,
- 89', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 90+8', 4 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽, Dominguez N. (A),
Chances of winning
Nottingham Forest
64.4% | Draw
21.6% | Burnley
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Nottingham Forest - Burnley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.58) |
4.44 ↑
(4.13) |
6.87 ↑
(5.95) |
4.5%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Burnley?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 40 - 78.4%). Burnley will win (votes: 3 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 67.1% – 89.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Burnley (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Burnley (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Burnley (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1.
- Nottingham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Burnley has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nottingham is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W.
(Knee Injury)
Hudson-Odoi C.
(Injury)
John Victor
(Knee Injury)
Savona N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cullen J.
(Knee Injury)
Mejbri H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roberts C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nottingham: Anderson E.
(Personal Reasons)
Murillo
(Injury)
Wood Ch.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Nottingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Burnley?
Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Nottingham Forest?
Burnley has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Burnley were as follows:
20.09.2025
Burnley
-
Nottingham Forest
1:1
19.05.2024
Burnley
-
Nottingham Forest
1:2
18.09.2023
Nottingham Forest
-
Burnley
1:1
30.08.2023
Nottingham Forest
-
Burnley
0:1
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
Latest results of Burnley
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:46 | 14 | 61 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:44 | 13 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 5 | 58 |
| 6 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52:52 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
