Accrington Stanley vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

League Two - Round 38
Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.65	2.52
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
3	9
Big chances
0	6
Corner kicks
3	12
Passes
62% (189/307)	76% (364/480)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.65	2.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.03	3.81
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
3	9
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
3	7
Shots inside the box
4	14
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	6
Corner kicks
3	12
Touches in opposition box
14	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
12	10
Passes
62% (189/307)	76% (364/480)
Long passes
30% (22/74)	30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
54% (48/89)	60% (65/109)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	0.78
Throw ins
30	35
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
50% (6/12)	27% (3/11)
Duels won
54	52
Clearances
40	24
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	3
xGOT faced
3.81	1.03
Goals prevented
-0.19	1.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Jones J. ⚽, Tangen H. (A),
23', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Bennetts K. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
38', Grant C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sass F. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Grant C. ⚽,
70', Bennetts K. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
70', Tangen H. ↓, Jatta A. ↑,
73', Madden P. ↓, Sinclair I. ↑,
73', Whalley S. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
77', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
77', Bedeau J. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
77', Palmer M. ↓, Browne L. ↑,
83', 0 - 4, Hall T. ⚽, Jatta A. (A),
88', Martin D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley
23.2%

Draw
28.4%

Notts County
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.1%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Accrington Stanley - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.3)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)	6.8% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Notts County?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Accrington (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 50%). Notts County (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
Accrington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Notts County has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Notts County is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Notts County: Bedeau J. (Yellow Cards) Dennis M. (Yellow Cards) Luker J. (Inactive) Norburn O. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Accrington: Mooney K. (Inactive) Sinclair I. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Notts County?

Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Accrington Stanley?

Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Notts County were as follows:

01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1

18.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Notts County 0:3

07.09.2024 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 2:0

16.03.2024 Accrington Stanley - Notts County 2:2

02.09.2023 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 3:1

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

14.03.2026 Barrow - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Bromley - Accrington Stanley 2:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Accrington Stanley - Barnet 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

14.03.2026 Notts County - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

07.03.2026 Walsall - Notts County 1:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Notts County - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 5:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League