Notts County vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 24
Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	0.31
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
77% (316/408)	74% (269/363)
Yellow Cards
5	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	0.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.45
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
14	9
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
77% (316/408)	74% (269/363)
Long passes
36% (24/66)	30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
61% (73/119)	60% (65/108)
Crosses
18% (6/33)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.98	0.45
Throw-ins
36	17
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
77% (10/13)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
48	45
Clearances
40	34
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.45	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.55	1.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Henderson A. 🟨,
16', Platt M. 🟨,
35', Woods J. 🟨,
45+3', Jatta A. 🟨,
45+3', Whalley S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
57', Jatta A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
67', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
70', Love D. 🟨,
71', Hall T. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
71', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Whalley S. ⚽, Love D. (A),
79', Woods J. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
87', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
88', Heath I. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
90', Bedeau J. 🟨,
90+4', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
90+6', Dennis M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Notts County
52.1%

Draw
26.2%

Accrington Stanley
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Notts County - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)	4.27 ↓ (4.42)	7.2% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Notts County - Accrington Stanley?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Coyle L. (Injury) Madden P. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Accrington Stanley?

Notts County has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Notts County?

Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

18.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Notts County 0:3

07.09.2024 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 2:0

16.03.2024 Accrington Stanley - Notts County 2:2

02.09.2023 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 3:1

Latest results of Notts County

29.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Notts County - Walsall 0:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

29.12.2025 Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Accrington Stanley - Barrow 2:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Accrington Stanley - Bromley 0:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League