Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Wager H. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.370.25
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
81
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Passes
77% (334/432)76% (340/445)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
3.370.25
xG on target (xGOT)
3.360.07
Total shots
175
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
131
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
125
Passes
77% (334/432)76% (340/445)
Long passes
28% (14/50)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)59% (62/105)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.24
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
512
Tackles
75% (12/16)87% (20/23)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
1834
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.073.36
Goals prevented
0.07-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Lowe J. (Own goal),
  • 26', Norburn O. , Grant C. ,
  • 34', Obiero Z. 🟨,
  • 41', Warrington L. 🟨,
  • 45', Platt M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. ,
  • 51', Plant J. , Ironside J. ,
  • 51', Warrington L. , Norman C. ,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Ndlovu L. , Grant C. (A),
  • 57', 4 - 0, Jones J. , Ndlovu L. (A),
  • 61', Whitaker C. , Kenneh N. ,
  • 63', Platt M. , McDonald R. ,
  • 64', Ndlovu L. , Dennis M. ,
  • 64', Kouhyar Q. , Hall T. ,
  • 67', Lowe J. , McGowan A. ,
  • 67', Patrick O. , Dickov M. ,
  • 76', Robertson S. , Tangen H. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Dennis M. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
55.6%
Draw
25.3%
Tranmere Rovers
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 25.6% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 24.1% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Notts County - Tranmere Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.77)
    3.71
    (3.58)
    4.82
    (4.03)
    7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Tranmere Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
    • Notts County is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tranmere's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Jones D. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Tamen W. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 1:2
    22.02.2025 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    10.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 0:0
    01.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 4:2
    26.08.2023 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One