Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', 🟨,
- 33', Khailoti O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Furrer G. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 0, da Graca C. ⚽,
- 72', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
- 73', Furrer G. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
- 73', Battistini M. ↓, Rizzo M. ↑,
- 74', Alberti T. 🟨,
- 82', Dell'Erba D. ↓, Valdesi A. ↑,
- 87', Zanellato N. ↓, Alaoui A. ↑,
- 87', Romani L. ↓, Ndongue F. ↑,
- 90+6', Agyemang G. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novara
38.7% | Draw
30% | Lecco
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Novara - Lecco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.02) |
3.06 ↓
(3.1) |
2.93 ↓
(3.65) |
9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Novara - Lecco?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1.
- Recent performances by Novara have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lecco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Novara could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Lecco?
Novara has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecco won against Novara?
Lecco has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Lecco were as follows:
17.01.2025
Lecco
-
Novara
1:1
16.09.2024
Novara
-
Lecco
0:0
11.02.2023
Lecco
-
Novara
3:1
16.10.2022
Novara
-
Lecco
1:2
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 49:15 | 34 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Lecco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Trento | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Renate | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Novara | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 14 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
