Result
3:1
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', Sassaro A. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Alberti T. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Lanini E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Travaglini C. ↓, Dimarco C. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 0, Lanini E. ⚽,
- 57', Di Munno A. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
- 57', Renelus B. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
- 60', 3 - 1, Tunjov G. ⚽,
- 62', Lanini E. ↓, Donadio C. ↑,
- 64', Khailoti O. 🟨,
- 71', Udoh K. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
- 74', Arboscello R. ↓, Ranieri R. ↑,
- 74', Alberti T. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
- 85', Ferri D. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 86', D'Alessio L. ↓, Cannavaro A. ↑,
- 90+4', Morosini L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Novara
54.4% | Draw
27.1% | Pro Patria
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Patria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Novara - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.65) |
3.37 ↓
(3.4) |
4.94 ↓
(5.15) |
9.7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Novara - Pro Patria?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Novara will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Novara will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1.
- Recent performances by Novara have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pro Patria has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Novara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novara is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Novara won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Pro Patria?
Novara has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Novara?
Pro Patria has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Pro Patria were as follows:
14.09.2025
Pro Patria
-
Novara
0:0
25.01.2025
Novara
-
Pro Patria
2:1
01.10.2024
Pro Patria
-
Novara
1:1
13.01.2024
Pro Patria
-
Novara
3:0
10.09.2023
Novara
-
Pro Patria
1:2
Latest results of Pro Patria
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 63:25 | 38 | 85 |
| 2 | Brescia | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 46:24 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Lecco | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:29 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | Trento | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Renate | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 56 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 32:26 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Inter U23 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 48 |
| 10 | AlbinoLeffe | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 47 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 44:46 | -2 | 47 |
| 12 | Giana Erminio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 34:39 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 45 |
| 14 | Novara | 36 | 8 | 20 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 37:50 | -13 | 43 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 34:50 | -16 | 37 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona ✔ | 36 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 24 |
| 19 | Pro Patria ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27:63 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Virtus Verona is Serie C ~ Play Out
Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
Triestina is Relegated to
