Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 255 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Ferri D. ⚽,
- 27', Mallamo A. 🟨,
- 29', Somma M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Ongaro E. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
- 55', Basso G. ↓, Gerardini F. ↑,
- 64', Morosini L. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
- 66', Barlocco L. 🟨,
- 68', Calcagni R. ↓, Cancola D. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, da Graca C. ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, Lorenzini F. ⚽,
- 76', Mallamo A. ↓, Toci E. ↑,
- 78', Mehic A. 🟨,
- 81', Mehic A. ↓, Palazzi A. ↑,
- 82', Somma M. ↓, Piran L. ↑,
- 82', Pitou J. ↓, Rocco D. ↑,
- 86', Barlocco L. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 90+2', Owusu E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Novara
47.6% | Draw
30.5% | Pro Patria
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Novara - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.85) |
2.99 ↓
(3.12) |
4.17 ↓
(4.18) |
9.5%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Novara - Pro Patria?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pro Patria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 1.
- Recent matches Novara is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Pro Patria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Novara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Novara will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Novara won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Pro Patria?
Novara has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Novara?
Pro Patria has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Pro Patria were as follows:
01.10.2024
Pro Patria
-
Novara
1:1
13.01.2024
Pro Patria
-
Novara
3:0
10.09.2023
Novara
-
Pro Patria
1:2
15.03.2023
Pro Patria
-
Novara
1:1
12.11.2022
Novara
-
Pro Patria
1:0
Latest results of Pro Patria
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
