Result
1:0
17/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Chiarello R. 🟨,
- 41', Boccia S. 🟨,
- 44', Bernardi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Perini G. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
- 46', Lorenzini F. ↓, Khailoti O. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Lanini E. ⚽,
- 64', Chiarello R. ↓, Moretti M. ↑,
- 64', Bernardi E. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
- 70', Di Cosmo L. ↓, Basso G. ↑,
- 70', Lanini E. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
- 75', Nanni N. ↓, Minesso M. ↑,
- 75', Lakti E. ↓, Castegnaro J. ↑,
- 78', Collodel R. ↓, Ranieri R. ↑,
- 83', Boccia S. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
- 89', Morosini L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bertoncini D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Minesso M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Novara 42.8% | Draw 30.3% | Union ArzignanoChiampo 26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union ArzignanoChiampo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↓ (2.35) |
3.04 ↑ (3) |
3.41 ↑ (2.98) |
8.7% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novara: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Novara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Novara won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Union ArzignanoChiampo?
Novara has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union ArzignanoChiampo won against Novara?
Union ArzignanoChiampo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo were as follows:
05.04.2025
Novara
-
Union ArzignanoChiampo
1:0
24.11.2024
Union ArzignanoChiampo
-
Novara
0:2
17.02.2024
Union ArzignanoChiampo
-
Novara
0:0
13.10.2023
Novara
-
Union ArzignanoChiampo
0:1
08.04.2023
Union ArzignanoChiampo
-
Novara
1:1
Latest results of Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Brescia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Lecco | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Inter U23 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Renate | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Pro Vercelli | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 8 | Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Trento | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Cittadella | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Virtus Verona | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Novara | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Giana Erminio | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Ospitaletto | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Lumezzane | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Triestina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation