Novara vs Union ArzignanoChiampo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo
Result
1:0
17/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
58
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Chiarello R. 🟨,
  • 41', Boccia S. 🟨,
  • 44', Bernardi E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Perini G. , Morosini L. ,
  • 46', Lorenzini F. , Khailoti O. ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Lanini E. ,
  • 64', Chiarello R. , Moretti M. ,
  • 64', Bernardi E. , Damiani M. ,
  • 70', Di Cosmo L. , Basso G. ,
  • 70', Lanini E. , Alberti T. ,
  • 75', Nanni N. , Minesso M. ,
  • 75', Lakti E. , Castegnaro J. ,
  • 78', Collodel R. , Ranieri R. ,
  • 83', Boccia S. , Lanzi E. ,
  • 89', Morosini L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Bertoncini D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Minesso M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Novara
42.8%
Draw
30.3%
Union ArzignanoChiampo
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 30.5% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 27.5% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union ArzignanoChiampo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.35)
    3.04
    (3)
    3.41
    (2.98)
    8.7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Novara: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Novara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Novara won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo 1:0
    24.11.2024 Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara 0:2
    17.02.2024 Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara 0:0
    13.10.2023 Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo 0:1
    08.04.2023 Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara 1:1
    Latest results of Novara
    11.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Novara 0:0
    05.10.2025 Novara - Triestina 0:0
    28.09.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Novara 3:2
    25.09.2025 Brescia - Novara 1:1
    21.09.2025 Novara - Pro Vercelli 0:1
    Latest results of Union ArzignanoChiampo
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza1091021:41728
    2Brescia1173120:61424
    3Lecco1173115:6924
    4Inter U231054116:10619
    5Alcione Milano1052311:7417
    6Renate1134411:14-313
    7Pro Vercelli1041510:14-413
    8Pergolettese1033410:12-212
    9AlbinoLeffe1133517:18-112
    10Trento1026212:13-112
    11Cittadella103347:9-212
    12Virtus Verona1125415:15011
    13Novara111828:9-111
    14Giana Erminio102536:10-411
    15Arzignano1124514:18-410
    16Dolomiti Bellunesi1024410:17-710
    17Ospitaletto1023510:14-49
    18Lumezzane1122712:21-98
    19Pro Patria101458:17-97
    20Triestina1034310:91-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation