Derthona vs NovaRomentin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group A - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Buongiorno D. ,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Buongiorno D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 3 - 0, Daffonchio A. ,

Chances of winning


Derthona
39.7%
Draw
28.1%
NovaRomentin
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 22.7% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 17.5% 45.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derthona's performance.
  • NovaRomentin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NovaRomentin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NovaRomentin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Derthona - NovaRomentin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (4.95)
    3.24
    (3.95)
    2.82
    (1.52)
    10.1%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
    • Recent performances by Derthona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • NovaRomentin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Derthona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derthona - NovaRomentin were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Derthona - NovaRomentin 1:6
    08.09.2024 NovaRomentin - Derthona 1:1
    Latest results of Derthona
    09.11.2025 Asti - Derthona 2:3
    02.11.2025 Derthona - Cairese 1:2
    26.10.2025 Biellese - Derthona 0:2
    19.10.2025 Derthona - Lavagnese 1:1
    12.10.2025 Chisola - Derthona 3:1
    Latest results of NovaRomentin
    09.11.2025 NovaRomentin - Saluzzo 1:4
    22.10.2025 NovaRomentin - Asti 2:3
    19.10.2025 Varese - NovaRomentin 1:0
    Italian Serie D - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ligorna26185350:212959
    2Vado26184448:183058
    3Sestri Levante26138545:222347
    4Chisola26145732:221047
    5AS Biellese26127733:221143
    6Varese FC26126834:35-142
    7Saluzzo26107942:37537
    8Sanremese2698927:23435
    9Imperia2698929:33-435
    10Valenzana26881023:33-1032
    11Derthona FbC26941329:37-831
    12Gozzano26781128:32-429
    13Cairese26611920:29-929
    14Asti26671322:30-825
    15Celle Varazze26671330:40-1025
    16Lavagnese264111122:34-1223
    17Club Milano26651523:42-1923
    18NovaRomentin26631719:46-2720

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
          Relegation