Result
3:1
31/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Imaz J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kurdic N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Petkovic M. ↓, Malekinusic M. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
- 53', Omoregbe B. 🟨,
- 55', Pozo A. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 55', Cantero A. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
- 55', Alic S. ↓, Togbe S. ↑,
- 62', Omoregbe B. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
- 66', Imaz J. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
- 70', Togbe S. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 0, Pululu A. (Pen),
- 75', Pululu A. 🟨,
- 75', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Stojinovic D. ↑,
- 75', Drachal D. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
- 78', Hadzimujovic A. ↓, Bruncevic E. ↑,
- 78', Marinkovic J. ↓, Bojat D. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Abdullahi A. ⚽, Ljajic A. (A),
- 87', Bojat D. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Romanczuk T. ⚽, Wdowik B. (A),
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
71.7% | Draw
17.2% | Novi Pazar
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Novi Pazar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3
(1.3) |
5.43 ↑
(4.75) |
8.45 ↑
(8) |
7.1%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Novi Pazar?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Novi Pazar will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 67.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 6 - 60%). Novi Pazar (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Jagiellonia (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Novi Pazar (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- Jagiellonia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novi Pazar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jagiellonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Novi Pazar?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Novi Pazar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Novi Pazar were as follows:
24.07.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:2
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
