Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lučani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Serbian Superliga Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 11
  • Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 10

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
81% (360/444)74% (270/365)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.441.84
Total shots
209
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
81% (360/444)74% (270/365)
Long passes
45% (30/66)49% (38/78)
Passes in final third
72% (95/132)49% (40/81)
Crosses
58% (14/24)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.21
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1411
Tackles
83% (5/6)100% (7/7)
Duels won
3647
Clearances
2128
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
1.841.44
Goals prevented
1.840.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Stanisavljevic S. , Mirosavic V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sremcevic U. , Marinkovic D. ,
  • 46', Cvetinovic D. , Bojic P. ,
  • 46', Varjacic A. , Boranijasevic N. ,
  • 46', Milojevic N. , Hadzic I. ,
  • 57', Mirosavic V. 🟨,
  • 63', Tumbasevic J. 🟨,
  • 64', Opara E. , Bijelovic L. ,
  • 65', Hadzimujovic A. 🟨,
  • 69', Bojat D. 🟨,
  • 71', Togbe S. , Alic S. ,
  • 82', Ljubomirac U. , Mijic M. ,
  • 84', Malekinusic M. , Petkovic M. ,
  • 90+2', Marinkovic J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mijic M. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Cisse A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Novi Pazar
50.2%
Draw
26.4%
Mladost Lučani
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 27.5% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 26.5% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novi Pazar's performance.
  • Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mladost Lučani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novi Pazar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mladost Lučani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.27)
    3.49
    (3.35)
    3.93
    (2.9)
    8.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Novi Pazar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mladost Lučani will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Novi Pazar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Novi Pazar is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani were as follows:
    08.07.2025 Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani 1:1
    28.04.2025 Mladost Lučani - Novi Pazar 1:1
    20.12.2024 Mladost Lučani - Novi Pazar 1:3
    17.08.2024 Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani 0:1
    03.03.2024 Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani 0:0
    Latest results of Novi Pazar
    Latest results of Mladost Lučani
    Serbian Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crvena zvezda11101041:73431
    2Partizan12101132:102231
    3Vojvodina1273223:101324
    4OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet1362521:21020
    5Novi Pazar1354417:17019
    6Zeleznicar Pancevo1354417:18-119
    7Cukaricki1253417:17018
    8Javor1244416:18-216
    9Radnicki 19231344515:19-416
    10TSC1342712:17-514
    11Mladost1335511:18-714
    12IMT Novi Beograd1342713:28-1514
    13Radnik1341817:21-413
    14Radnicki Nis1333717:20-312
    15Sp. Subotica1333714:22-812
    16Napredak1314810:30-207

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