Result
0:2
09/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Ilic P. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (367/476) | 74% (298/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.70 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (367/476) | 74% (298/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 41% (38/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (74/131) | 60% (67/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 73% (8/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 37 |
| Clearances |
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| 11 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Sadi D. ⚽,
- 42', Davidovic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Kotzebue V. ↓, Stanisavljevic S. ↑,
- 63', Zunic F. ↓, Udovicic Z. ↑,
- 63', Todosijevic M. ↓, Djurkovic J. ↑,
- 64', Tumbasevic J. ↓, Milojevic N. ↑,
- 73', Ciric J. ↓, Hadzic I. ↑,
- 73', Alilovic Z. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 73', Davidovic I. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
- 74', Stamenkovic S. ↓, Matijasevic B. ↑,
- 80', Backulja F. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 2, Stanisavljevic S. ⚽, Camaj D. (A),
- 89', Camaj D. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 89', Miletic N. ↓, Mirosavic V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mladost Lučani
24.1% | Draw
28.8% | Novi Pazar
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Mladost Lučani - Novi Pazar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↑
(3.6) |
3.22 ↓
(3.4) |
1.99 ↓
(2.1) |
7.5%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mladost Lučani - Novi Pazar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mladost Lučani will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Novi Pazar will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novi Pazar: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mladost Lučani (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 1.
- Recent form of Mladost Lučani has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Novi Pazar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Novi Pazar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Novi Pazar might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladost Lučani won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Novi Pazar?
Mladost Lučani has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Mladost Lučani?
Novi Pazar has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladost Lučani - Novi Pazar were as follows:
04.10.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Mladost Lučani
1:0
08.07.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Mladost Lučani
1:1
28.04.2025
Mladost Lučani
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
20.12.2024
Mladost Lučani
-
Novi Pazar
1:3
17.08.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Mladost Lučani
0:1
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 52:27 | 25 | 58 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | TSC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Javor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:45 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25:61 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
