Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 11
- Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (360/444) | 74% (270/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.61 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.44 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (360/444) | 74% (270/365) |
| Long passes |
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| 45% (30/66) | 49% (38/78) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 72% (95/132) | 49% (40/81) |
| Crosses |
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| 58% (14/24) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.63 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
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| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 83% (5/6) | 100% (7/7) |
| Duels won |
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| 36 | 47 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.84 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 1.84 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Stanisavljevic S. ⚽, Mirosavic V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sremcevic U. ↓, Marinkovic D. ↑,
- 46', Cvetinovic D. ↓, Bojic P. ↑,
- 46', Varjacic A. ↓, Boranijasevic N. ↑,
- 46', Milojevic N. ↓, Hadzic I. ↑,
- 57', Mirosavic V. 🟨,
- 63', Tumbasevic J. 🟨,
- 64', Opara E. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 65', Hadzimujovic A. 🟨,
- 69', Bojat D. 🟨,
- 71', Togbe S. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 82', Ljubomirac U. ↓, Mijic M. ↑,
- 84', Malekinusic M. ↓, Petkovic M. ↑,
- 90+2', Marinkovic J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mijic M. (Pen),
- 90+4', Cisse A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar
50.2% | Draw
26.4% | Mladost Lučani
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novi Pazar's performance.Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mladost Lučani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novi Pazar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mladost Lučani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.27) |
3.49 ↑
(3.35) |
3.93 ↑
(2.9) |
8.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Novi Pazar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mladost Lučani will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Novi Pazar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novi Pazar is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Mladost Lučani?
Novi Pazar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Novi Pazar?
Mladost Lučani has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani were as follows:
08.07.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Mladost Lučani
1:1
28.04.2025
Mladost Lučani
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
20.12.2024
Mladost Lučani
-
Novi Pazar
1:3
17.08.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Mladost Lučani
0:1
03.03.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Mladost Lučani
0:0
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 35:6 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 | Partizan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28:10 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
| 8 | TSC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | IMT Novi Beograd | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 13 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Mladost | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Javor | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Radnik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Napredak | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:22 | -13 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
