HJK vs NSÍ Runavík – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0 ET
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Jonasson H. M. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHJK TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
603
Shots on target
150
Corner Kicks
202
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Total shots
603
Shots on target
150
Shots off target
152
Blocked Shots
301
Corner Kicks
202
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1221
Throw-ins
3413
Fouls
1611
Goalkeeper Saves
010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Ness F. O. 🟥,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Lingman L. , Michel B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Przybylski M. , Diaby H. ,
  • 46', Kouassivi-Benissan K. , Hostikka S. ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Ring A. , Lingman L. (A),
  • 59', Lyons-Foster B. , Ylitolva M. ,
  • 59', Kanellopoulos G. , Meriluoto K. ,
  • 68', van Der Heyden J. , Nolsoe B. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Hostikka S. , Mentu P. (A),
  • 85', Joensen E. W. , Osen H. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 0, Antzoulas G. , Ring A. (A),
  • 90+5', Joensen K. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 93', 5 - 0, Hostikka S. ,
  • 97', Pukki T. , Simojoki K. ,
  • 100', Diaby H. 🟨,
  • 104', Lingman L. , Boamah M. ,
  • 105+2', Michel B. 🟨,
  • 107', Tikkanen V. , Hannula O. ,
  • 109', Hostikka S. 🟨,
  • 109', Osen H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HJK
68.8%
Draw
17.8%
NSÍ Runavík
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 20% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 19.6% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.
  • NSÍ Runavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HJK that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NSÍ Runavík than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NSÍ Runavík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • HJK - NSÍ Runavík Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.5)
    5.35
    (4.63)
    7.14
    (4.99)
    6.8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    What is the prediction for HJK - NSÍ Runavík?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Runavík will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • TQ, OT - Runavík (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Runavík (4.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Runavík (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Runavík (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Runavík (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 2 - 20%). Runavík (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, HJK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Runavík is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, HJK has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, HJK is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, HJK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - NSÍ Runavík were as follows:
    10.07.2025 NSÍ Runavík - HJK 4:0
    Latest results of HJK
    10.07.2025 NSÍ Runavík - HJK 4:0
    05.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - HJK 0:2
    02.07.2025 HJK - FF Jaro 2:3
    27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 3:0
    24.06.2025 Klubi 04 - HJK 0:4
    Latest results of NSÍ Runavík
    Draw
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