Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 23
- Referee: Lara J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (215/326) | 74% (300/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (215/326) | 74% (300/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 58% (37/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (79/137) | 61% (69/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↓, Chandia B. ↑,
- 62', Mateos F. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
- 63', Campusano J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 63', Molina L. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Reyes L. ⚽, Rubio P. (A),
- 71', Camargo A. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,
- 71', Cornejo J. ↓, Cabrera S. ↑,
- 72', Reyes L. 🟨,
- 78', Waterman C. 🟨,
- 78', Bosso Torres O. 🟨,
- 80', Rubio P. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Johansen N. ⚽, Zavala C. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Waterman C. ⚽,
- 90+5', Graciani G. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
- 90+5', Zavala C. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
- 90+6', Waterman C. ↓, Cordero S. ↑,
- 90+8', Hernandez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Coquimbo Unido 51.1% | Draw 29.1% | Ñublense 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coquimbo Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-2%)
Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↑ (1.69) |
3.23 ↓ (3.52) |
4.77 ↓ (4.98) |
6.1% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Coquimbo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 2.
- Coquimbo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ñublense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Coquimbo is the team to beat.
- We predict that Coquimbo will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coquimbo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Coquimbo Unido won against Ñublense?
Coquimbo Unido has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Coquimbo Unido?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense were as follows:
20.04.2025
Ñublense
-
Coquimbo Unido
0:0
20.07.2024
Coquimbo Unido
-
Ñublense
1:0
16.02.2024
Ñublense
-
Coquimbo Unido
0:0
30.09.2023
Coquimbo Unido
-
Ñublense
1:3
14.04.2023
Ñublense
-
Coquimbo Unido
1:3
Latest results of Coquimbo Unido
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 38:12 | 26 | 62 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso