Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 23
- Referee: Lara J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 0.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
66% (215/326) | 74% (300/407) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 0.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.82 | 0.94 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
66% (215/326) | 74% (300/407) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (25/65) | 58% (37/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (79/137) | 61% (69/114) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (6/24) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.98 | 1.07 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (14/17) | 40% (8/20) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 44 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.94 | 1.82 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.06 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↓, Chandia B. ↑,
- 62', Mateos F. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
- 63', Campusano J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 63', Molina L. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Reyes L. ⚽, Rubio P. (A),
- 71', Camargo A. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,
- 71', Cornejo J. ↓, Cabrera S. ↑,
- 72', Reyes L. 🟨,
- 78', Waterman C. 🟨,
- 78', Bosso Torres O. 🟨,
- 80', Rubio P. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Johansen N. ⚽, Zavala C. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Waterman C. ⚽,
- 90+5', Graciani G. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
- 90+5', Zavala C. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
- 90+6', Waterman C. ↓, Cordero S. ↑,
- 90+8', Hernandez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Coquimbo Unido 51.1% | Draw 29.1% | Ñublense 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coquimbo Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-2%)
Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↑ (1.69) |
3.23 ↓ (3.52) |
4.77 ↓ (4.98) |
6.1% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Coquimbo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 2.
- Coquimbo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ñublense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Coquimbo is the team to beat.
- We predict that Coquimbo will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coquimbo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Coquimbo Unido won against Ñublense?
Coquimbo Unido has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Coquimbo Unido?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense were as follows:
20.04.2025
Ñublense
-
Coquimbo Unido
0:0
20.07.2024
Coquimbo Unido
-
Ñublense
1:0
16.02.2024
Ñublense
-
Coquimbo Unido
0:0
30.09.2023
Coquimbo Unido
-
Ñublense
1:3
14.04.2023
Ñublense
-
Coquimbo Unido
1:3
Latest results of Coquimbo Unido
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
8 | Colo Colo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 31 |
9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:45 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso