Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 20
- Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 1.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
75% (237/316) | 85% (468/552) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 1.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.65 | 0.63 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
75% (237/316) | 85% (468/552) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (27/57) | 59% (32/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (63/98) | 80% (144/179) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (2/11) | 19% (5/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 1.37 |
Throw-ins |
---|
10 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (13/24) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
37 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.63 | 0.65 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.63 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Graciani G. ⚽, Reyes L. (A),
- 9', Calderon P. 🟨,
- 40', Rubio P. 🟨,
- 41', Mateos F. 🟥,
- 44', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 45', Molina L. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 45+6', Parra P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Castro F. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez J. ↓, Martinez Arce A. E. ↑,
- 47', Tapia D. 🟨,
- 59', Parra P. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 59', Fernandez R. ↓, Marabel J. ↑,
- 63', Tapia Paez G. 🟨,
- 69', Marabel J. 🟨,
- 70', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 75', Rubio P. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 82', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 90', Plaza M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 90', Graciani G. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
- 90+3', Zuniga D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense 41.6% | Draw 28.9% | Palestino 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Ñublense - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 ↑ (2.25) |
3.33 ↑ (3.2) |
3.31 ↑ (3) |
3.8% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Palestino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Palestino?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Ñublense?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Palestino were as follows:
01.09.2024
Palestino
-
Ñublense
1:1
14.04.2024
Ñublense
-
Palestino
0:2
11.11.2023
Ñublense
-
Palestino
1:1
10.09.2022
Ñublense
-
Palestino
2:0
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 33:11 | 22 | 50 |
2 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
3 | A. Italiano | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
5 | O'Higgins | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 35 |
6 | U. Catolica | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Cobresal | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
8 | Huachipato | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Nublense | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21:24 | -3 | 29 |
10 | Colo Colo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Union La Calera | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Everton | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
13 | La Serena | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 19 |
14 | Limache | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 18 |
15 | U. Espanola | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 14 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso