Result
16/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHILE: Liga de Primera - Round 5
- Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (486/554) | 65% (164/251) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 74% (118/160) | 47% (35/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 29% (2/7) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Calderon P. 🟨,
- 20', Plaza M. 🟥,
- 43', 1 - 0, Marabel J. ⚽, Benitez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Rodriguez M. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
- 57', Valencia E. ↓, Mateos F. ↑,
- 57', Sosa G. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
- 75', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Molina L. ↑,
- 77', Benitez J. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ⚽,
- 87', Abrigo J. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
- 87', Carrasco B. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
- 90+2', Fernandez J. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
- 90+2', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palestino
49.6% | Draw
25.8% | Ñublense
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Palestino - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.95) |
3.63 ↑
(3.58) |
3.85 ↑
(3.7) |
6.5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
Palestino will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 1.
- Palestino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Ñublense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ñublense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Palestino is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Palestino won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:22 (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:17 (average 1.3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Ñublense?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Palestino?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Ñublense were as follows:
01.09.2024
Palestino
-
Ñublense
1:1
14.04.2024
Ñublense
-
Palestino
0:2
11.11.2023
Ñublense
-
Palestino
1:1
10.09.2022
Ñublense
-
Palestino
2:0
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 30 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
| 7 | Colo Colo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | Nublense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Union La Calera | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Everton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 18 |
| 13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
| 14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
