Ñublense vs Palestino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera Division Ñublense - Palestino
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 20
  • Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.42
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
75% (237/316)85% (468/552)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.63
Total shots
913
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
811
Passes
75% (237/316)85% (468/552)
Long passes
47% (27/57)59% (32/54)
Passes in final third
64% (63/98)80% (144/179)
Crosses
18% (2/11)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.37
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1310
Tackles
54% (13/24)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
3715
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.630.65
Goals prevented
0.63-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Graciani G. , Reyes L. (A),
  • 9', Calderon P. 🟨,
  • 40', Rubio P. 🟨,
  • 41', Mateos F. 🟥,
  • 44', Fernandez J. 🟨,
  • 45', Molina L. , Valencia E. ,
  • 45+6', Parra P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Castro F. , Tapia Paez G. ,
  • 46', Fernandez J. , Martinez Arce A. E. ,
  • 47', Tapia D. 🟨,
  • 59', Parra P. , Arias J. ,
  • 59', Fernandez R. , Marabel J. ,
  • 63', Tapia Paez G. 🟨,
  • 69', Marabel J. 🟨,
  • 70', Garguez Gomez I. A. , Leon J. ,
  • 75', Rubio P. , Oyarzo Munoz B. ,
  • 82', Graciani G. 🟨,
  • 90', Plaza M. , Sosa G. ,
  • 90', Graciani G. , Saavedra D. ,
  • 90+3', Zuniga D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ñublense
41.6%
Draw
28.9%
Palestino
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Ñublense - Palestino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.25)
    3.33
    (3.2)
    3.31
    (3)
    3.8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ñublense - Palestino?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Palestino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Palestino were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Palestino - Ñublense 1:1
    14.04.2024 Ñublense - Palestino 0:2
    11.11.2023 Ñublense - Palestino 1:1
    10.09.2022 Ñublense - Palestino 2:0
    Latest results of Ñublense
    Latest results of Palestino
    01.08.2025 Audax Italiano - Palestino 1:1
    23.07.2025 Palestino - Bolívar 0:3
    16.07.2025 Bolívar - Palestino 3:0
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo21155133:112250
    2U. De Chile20122644:212338
    3A. Italiano21114633:27637
    4Palestino20106426:161036
    5O'Higgins2198424:23135
    6U. Catolica2096531:211033
    7Cobresal2095624:21332
    8Huachipato2194832:30231
    9Nublense2078521:24-329
    10Colo Colo2177731:26528
    11Union La Calera21651017:22-523
    12Everton2047921:30-919
    13La Serena21541224:38-1419
    14Limache21461124:32-818
    15U. Espanola21421519:39-2014
    16Deportes Iquique21251421:44-2311

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso