Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 20
- Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/316) | 85% (468/552) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/316) | 85% (468/552) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 59% (32/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/98) | 80% (144/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Graciani G. ⚽, Reyes L. (A),
- 9', Calderon P. 🟨,
- 40', Rubio P. 🟨,
- 41', Mateos F. 🟥,
- 44', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 45', Molina L. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 45+6', Parra P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Castro F. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez J. ↓, Martinez Arce A. E. ↑,
- 47', Tapia D. 🟨,
- 59', Parra P. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 59', Fernandez R. ↓, Marabel J. ↑,
- 63', Tapia Paez G. 🟨,
- 69', Marabel J. 🟨,
- 70', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 75', Rubio P. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 82', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 90', Plaza M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 90', Graciani G. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
- 90+3', Zuniga D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
41.6% | Draw
28.9% | Palestino
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Ñublense - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.25) |
3.33 ↑
(3.2) |
3.31 ↑
(3) |
3.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Palestino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Palestino?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Ñublense?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Palestino were as follows:
01.09.2024
Palestino
-
Ñublense
1:1
14.04.2024
Ñublense
-
Palestino
0:2
11.11.2023
Ñublense
-
Palestino
1:1
10.09.2022
Ñublense
-
Palestino
2:0
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 38:12 | 26 | 62 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
