Ñublense vs Universidad de Chile – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán).

Liga de Primera - Round 16
Referee: Flores D. (Chi)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.85	1.14
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
4	7
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	3
Passes
73% (224/307)	79% (353/446)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.59	1.60
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
1	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
15	19
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
10	12
Passes
73% (224/307)	79% (353/446)
Long passes
46% (24/52)	42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
60% (50/84)	66% (85/128)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	1.12
Throw-ins
21	24
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
67% (14/21)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
55	54
Clearances
31	13
Interceptions
15	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.60	0.59
Goals prevented
0.60	-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Rubio P. 🟨,
31', Calderon F. 🟨,
42', Fernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Fernandez N. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Plaza M. ⚽, Campusano J. (A),
65', Contreras R. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
65', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
74', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Salomoni F. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Calderon P. (Own goal),
83', Sosa G. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
83', Mateos F. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
86', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
87', Assadi L. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
88', Reyes L. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
88', Bosso Torres O. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Rubio P. ⚽,
90+5', Guerra N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Ñublense
26.6%

Draw
27.8%

Universidad de Chile
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.4%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

29.8%

55.5%

Ñublense - Universidad de Chile Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.34)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)	5.6% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Ñublense - Universidad de Chile?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Ñublense (1.83) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Universidad de Chile will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 0.
Ñublense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Universidad de Chile is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Universidad de Chile might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Universidad de Chile?

Ñublense has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Ñublense?

Universidad de Chile has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Universidad de Chile were as follows:

15.02.2025 Universidad de Chile - Ñublense 5:0

20.11.2024 Universidad de Chile - Ñublense 1:0

03.11.2024 Ñublense - Universidad de Chile 1:4

26.05.2024 Universidad de Chile - Ñublense 0:0

09.12.2023 Universidad de Chile - Ñublense 3:1

Latest results of Ñublense

16.07.2025 Huachipato - Ñublense 2:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Ñublense - Huachipato 2:2 ✺

01.07.2025 Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes 2:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Cobresal - Ñublense 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Ñublense - Audax Italiano 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Universidad de Chile

17.07.2025 Universidad de Chile - Guaraní Asuncion 5:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Unión Española - Universidad de Chile 0:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Universidad de Chile - Deportes Iquique 3:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Chile 1:0 ✺

Chilean Primera Division Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coquimbo ✔	30	23	6	1	49:17	32	75
2	U. Catolica	30	17	7	6	44:26	18	58
3	O'Higgins	30	16	8	6	43:34	9	56
4	U. De Chile	30	17	4	9	58:32	26	55
5	Palestino ✔	30	14	7	9	42:31	11	49
6	A. Italiano ✔	29	15	4	10	49:42	7	49
7	Cobresal	29	14	5	10	38:33	5	47
8	Colo Colo	29	12	8	9	45:34	11	44
9	Huachipato	30	12	7	11	43:42	1	43
10	Limache	30	8	7	15	36:43	-7	31
11	Nublense	29	7	9	13	26:40	-14	30
12	Union La Calera	30	8	5	17	28:39	-11	29
13	La Serena	30	7	6	17	32:52	-20	27
14	Everton	30	6	8	16	27:44	-17	26
15	Deportes Iquique	30	6	6	18	34:60	-26	24
16	U. Espanola ✔	30	6	3	21	33:58	-25	21

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

Clinched Spots for Teams

Coquimbo is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palestino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Qualification )
A. Italiano is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Qualification )
U. Espanola is Relegated to Liga de Ascenso