Result
2:2
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 16
- Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (224/307) | 79% (353/446) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (224/307) | 79% (353/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/84) | 66% (85/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Rubio P. 🟨,
- 31', Calderon F. 🟨,
- 42', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Fernandez N. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Plaza M. ⚽, Campusano J. (A),
- 65', Contreras R. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 65', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 74', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Salomoni F. ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 2, Calderon P. (Own goal),
- 83', Sosa G. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
- 83', Mateos F. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
- 86', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
- 87', Assadi L. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 88', Reyes L. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
- 88', Bosso Torres O. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Rubio P. ⚽,
- 90+5', Guerra N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
26.6% | Draw
27.8% | Universidad de Chile
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Chile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ñublense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Chile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ñublense - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↓
(4.34) |
3.38 ↓
(3.4) |
2.1 ↑
(1.83) |
5.6%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Universidad de Chile?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Ñublense (votes: 6 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universidad de Chile will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 0.
- Ñublense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Universidad de Chile is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Universidad de Chile might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Universidad de Chile?
Ñublense has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Ñublense?
Universidad de Chile has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
15.02.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Ñublense
5:0
20.11.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Ñublense
1:0
03.11.2024
Ñublense
-
Universidad de Chile
1:4
26.05.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Ñublense
0:0
09.12.2023
Universidad de Chile
-
Ñublense
3:1
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 30 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
| 7 | Colo Colo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | Nublense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Union La Calera | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Everton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 18 |
| 13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
| 14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
