Result
2:1
24/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (284/359) | 80% (369/459) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (284/359) | 80% (369/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 44% (21/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (85/130) | 70% (70/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Assadi L. ⚽, Di Yorio L. (A),
- 33', Aranguiz C. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
- 34', Patino Martinez J. ↓, Roman Torales F. J. ↑,
- 40', Riveros P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Altamirano J. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
- 46', Hormazabal F. ↓, Retamal D. ↑,
- 46', Mendieta W. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 46', Riveros P. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
- 55', Assadi L. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 62', Cespedes V. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
- 69', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Torales R. ⚽, Benitez Cabrera A. J. (A),
- 85', Manzur A. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Torales R. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
28.4% | Draw
28.6% | Universidad de Chile
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(2.35) |
3.34 ↑
(3) |
2.27 ↓
(3.1) |
4.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg.
- Guaraní is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Universidad de Chile is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Universidad de Chile?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Universidad de Chile has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
17.07.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Guaraní Asuncion
5:0
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Gremio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
