Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.88
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
613
Passes
83% (422/509)79% (289/364)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.490.78
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
613
Touches in opposition box
2447
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
83% (422/509)79% (289/364)
Long passes
46% (21/46)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)69% (84/122)
Crosses
33% (5/15)24% (8/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.94
Throw-ins
1623
Fouls
1212
Tackles
58% (11/19)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
3916
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.782.49
Goals prevented
0.780.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Zoma M. A. 🟨,
  • 30', Boakye B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Zoma M. A. , Demba P. ,
  • 48', Corboz M. 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Lubach R. (Pen),
  • 52', Schneider L. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Becker F. O. , Yilmaz B. (A),
  • 58', Demba P. 🟨,
  • 60', Handwerker T. , Sicker A. ,
  • 61', Sarenren Bazee N. , Young I. ,
  • 61', Boakye B. , Lannert C. ,
  • 64', Markhiev A. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 70', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
  • 71', Grodowski J. , Kania J. ,
  • 79', Stepanov A. , Knoche R. ,
  • 79', Janisch T. , Drexler T. ,
  • 87', Becker F. O. , Baack T. ,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
41.6%
Draw
26.4%
Arminia Bielefeld
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 26.3% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.33)
    3.59
    (3.6)
    2.96
    (2.85)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 15.2%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1.
    • Nürnberg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Arminia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T. (Foot Injury) Chiumento L. (Injury) Danilo Soares (Hamstring Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Maboulou N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Mehlem M. (Injury) Russo S. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    17.03.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg 2:2
    09.09.2022 Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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