Arminia Bielefeld vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg
Result
2:2
17/03/2023 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
44%
Draw
28.9%
Nürnberg
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.3% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 28.4% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.32)
    3.29
    (3.29)
    3.49
    (2.96)
    5.5%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 54.1%91.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
    • Arminia has the most likely position - 14 (13.81%), project points - 38, currently - 24, a chance of relegated (18%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Nürnberg has the most likely position - 14 (14.3%), project points - 39, currently - 28, a small chance of relegated (14%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 28, importance 41, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 3.
    • Arminia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Nürnberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arminia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Arminia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg were as follows:
    09.09.2022 Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    2Braunschweig00000:000
    3Dusseldorf00000:000
    4Magdeburg00000:000
    5Holstein Kiel00000:000
    6Schalke00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Hertha Berlin00000:000
    9Karlsruher SC00000:000
    10Bochum00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Nurnberg00000:000
    13Greuther Furth00000:000
    14Kaiserslautern00000:000
    15Paderborn00000:000
    16Darmstadt00000:000
    17Preussen Munster00000:000
    18Elversberg00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga