Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 9
- Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (300/355) | 86% (457/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (300/355) | 86% (457/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 54% (28/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (64/84) | 65% (82/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Justvan J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Harres P. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
- 59', Demba P. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 62', Rosenboom L. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
- 62', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
- 68', Drexler T. 🟨,
- 69', Kapralik A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
- 75', Gruber F. 🟨,
- 76', Zoma M. A. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Johansson C. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
- 87', Zec D. 🟨,
- 89', Skrzybski S. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
- 90+1', Markhiev A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Justvan J. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg
37.1% | Draw
28.3% | Holstein Kiel
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.7) |
3.36 ↓
(3.53) |
2.72 ↑
(2.48) |
6.1%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T.
(Foot Injury)
Koudossou H.
(Ankle Injury)
Maboulou N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nürnberg: Markhiev A.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Holstein Kiel?
Nürnberg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Nürnberg?
Holstein Kiel has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
06.04.2024
Nürnberg
-
Holstein Kiel
0:4
29.10.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Nürnberg
0:2
15.04.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Nürnberg
2:1
09.10.2022
Nürnberg
-
Holstein Kiel
2:3
Latest results of Nürnberg
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Schalke | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Hannover | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Preussen Munster | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Nurnberg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Bochum | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
