Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 9
  • Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.11
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
85% (300/355)86% (457/534)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.320.82
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
3523
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
168
Passes
85% (300/355)86% (457/534)
Long passes
47% (21/45)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
76% (64/84)65% (82/127)
Crosses
17% (3/18)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.73
Throw-ins
2127
Fouls
816
Tackles
75% (12/16)45% (10/22)
Duels won
4749
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.821.32
Goals prevented
-0.180.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Justvan J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Harres P. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
  • 59', Demba P. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
  • 62', Rosenboom L. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
  • 62', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
  • 68', Drexler T. 🟨,
  • 69', Kapralik A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
  • 75', Gruber F. 🟨,
  • 76', Zoma M. A. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Johansson C. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
  • 87', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 89', Skrzybski S. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
  • 90+1', Markhiev A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Justvan J. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
37.1%		Draw
28.3%		Holstein Kiel
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 26.8% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.5% 37.2%

Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.54 ↓
(2.7)		 3.36 ↓
(3.53)		 2.72 ↑
(2.48)		 6.1%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 28.1% – 78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 25%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Holstein Kiel (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 20%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T. (Foot Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Maboulou N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Markhiev A. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 0:4
    29.10.2023 Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg 0:2
    15.04.2023 Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg 2:1
    09.10.2022 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 2:3
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    03.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 2:3 ✺
    28.09.2025 Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin 0:3 ✺
    20.09.2025 Nürnberg - Bochum 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Karlsruher - Nürnberg 2:1 ✺
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 1:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺
    03.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt21118240:221841
    2Schalke21124526:161040
    3Paderborn21123633:24939
    4Elversberg21115537:231438
    5Hannover21115538:281038
    6Hertha Berlin2197528:20834
    7Kaiserslautern2194835:31431
    8Bochum2176830:27327
    9Karlsruher SC2176830:37-727
    10Nurnberg2175924:30-626
    11Arminia Bielefeld2166933:30324
    12Holstein Kiel2166926:29-324
    13Dusseldorf21731120:31-1124
    14Braunschweig21731123:35-1224
    15Magdeburg21721231:37-623
    16Preussen Munster2157925:32-722
    17SG Dynamo Dresden21561031:38-721
    18Greuther Furth21541232:52-2019

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