Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Yevtukhov D. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Buzhyn M. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Sukhanov S. ⚽, Prokopenko Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Sukhanov S. (Pen),
- 62', Ustymenko D. ↓, Bychek K. ↑,
- 71', Sukhanov S. ↓, Tovarchi O. ↑,
- 73', Kotsyumaka I. ↓, Galenkov D. ↑,
- 73', Misyura Y. ↓, Onishchenko A. ↑,
- 73', Khakhlyov O. ↓, Doroshenko A. ↑,
- 83', Marusych M. 🟨,
- 86', Prokopenko Y. ↓, Chernenko R. ↑,
- 86', Kurko V. ↓, Lomnytskyi A. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Marusych M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Poltava
24.3% | Draw
29.2% | Obolon
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Poltava - Obolon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↓
(4) |
3.24 ↓
(3.26) |
2.04 ↑
(1.77) |
5.6%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Poltava - Obolon?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Poltava (votes: 2 - 50%). Obolon (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Poltava (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Poltava (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Poltava (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Poltava will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Poltava (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Obolon (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 10).
- Poltava is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Obolon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Poltava has had a series of away games.
- Obolon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Poltava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Poltava won against Obolon?
Poltava has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Obolon won against Poltava?
Obolon has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Poltava - Obolon were as follows:
23.10.2022
Poltava
-
Obolon
2:1
03.09.2022
Obolon
-
Poltava
2:1
Latest results of Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48:12 | 36 | 47 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 28:11 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 36:14 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Kryvbas | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 31:27 | 4 | 31 |
| 6 | Metalist 1925 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 31 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Obolon | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
| 10 | Karpaty Lviv | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Veres-Rivne | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 | Kudrivka | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:35 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Epitsentr | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 15:30 | -15 | 19 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 11 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16:51 | -35 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
