Poltava vs Obolon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Poltava - Obolon
17/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Poltava
22.3%
Draw
27.7%
Obolon
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 27.3% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 24% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Poltava have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Obolon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 10).
    • Poltava has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Obolon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Poltava has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Obolon is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Poltava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poltava - Obolon were as follows:
    23.10.2022 Poltava - Obolon 2:1
    03.09.2022 Obolon - Poltava 2:1
    Latest results of Poltava
    27.09.2025 Oleksandriya - Poltava 1:0
    21.09.2025 Poltava - Metalist 1925 0:2
    18.09.2025 Nyva Ternopil - Poltava 3:0
    14.09.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Poltava 1:1
    Latest results of Obolon
    04.10.2025 Obolon - Veres Rivne 1:1
    27.09.2025 Zorya Luhansk - Obolon 0:0
    22.09.2025 Obolon - Karpaty Lviv 0:2
    13.09.2025 Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv 2:2
    30.08.2025 Kryvbas - Obolon 2:1
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk852115:8717
    2Dyn. Kyiv844022:111116
    3Kryvbas851216:11516
    4Polissya Zhytomyr850314:8615
    5Metalist 1925843111:5615
    6LNZ Cherkasy84229:7214
    7Kolos Kovalivka84228:6214
    8Karpaty Lviv825114:12211
    9FK Zorya Luhansk832311:10111
    10Obolon82427:8-110
    11Kudrivka831412:14-210
    12Veres-Rivne82246:9-38
    13Oleksandriya82159:15-67
    14Rukh Lviv82066:16-106
    15SC Poltava81165:17-124
    16Epitsentr81078:16-83

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga