Result
1:1
17/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Solovyan O. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Veremiyenko O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, Sad V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Chekh M. 🟨,
- 66', Veremiyenko O. 🟨,
- 68', Medynskyi I. ↓, Sukhanov S. ↑,
- 70', Sad V. ↓, Savenkov A. ↑,
- 74', Odaryuk V. ↓, Buzhyn M. ↑,
- 74', Danylenko V. ↓, Plakhtyr D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Slobodyan O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Galenkov D. ↓, Kononov M. ↑,
- 84', Sukhoruchko D. ↓, Marusych M. ↑,
- 85', Volokhatyi R. ↓, Lyakh T. ↑,
- 85', Tretyakov M. ↓, Prokopenko Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Ukhan I. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Obolon
61.2% | Draw
23.6% | Poltava
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Obolon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poltava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Obolon - Poltava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.65) |
3.94 ↑
(3.93) |
6.16 ↑
(5.22) |
7.3%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Obolon - Poltava?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Obolon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Poltava will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Obolon: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Obolon (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Obolon (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Obolon (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).
- Obolon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Poltava is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Obolon is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Obolon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Obolon won against Poltava?
Obolon has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Poltava won against Obolon?
Poltava has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Obolon - Poltava were as follows:
17.10.2025
Poltava
-
Obolon
1:2
23.10.2022
Poltava
-
Obolon
2:1
03.09.2022
Obolon
-
Poltava
2:1
Latest results of Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 59:16 | 43 | 60 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 36:16 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44:17 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 58:31 | 27 | 47 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Kolos Kovalivka | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Kryvbas | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | Karpaty Lviv | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Veres-Rivne | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Obolon | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 22:42 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Epitsentr | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 17:42 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 18:49 | -31 | 13 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20:63 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
