Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 18
- Referee: Koukoulas P. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (343/420) | 82% (334/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (343/420) | 82% (334/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (74/108) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Shengelia L. 🟨,
- 37', Kojic L. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Salcedo E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Salcedo E. ↓, Leya Iseka A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kojic L. ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
- 48', Sielis C. 🟨,
- 52', Karachalios Z. ↓, Bainovic F. ↑,
- 68', Sielis C. ↓, Mladen S. ↑,
- 68', Nikolaou E. ↓, Smyrlis L. ↑,
- 78', Smyrlis L. 🟨,
- 78', Mavrias Ch. ↓, Esteban Diego ↑,
- 81', Shengelia L. ↓, Fountas T. ↑,
- 89', Aleksic K. ↓, Hoxha D. ↑,
- 90+5', Satsias G. 🟥,
Chances of winning
OFI
52.6% | Draw
27% | Panetolikos
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OFI's performance.Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFI than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
OFI - Panetolikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.98) |
3.46 ↑
(3.15) |
4.57 ↑
(3.97) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for OFI - Panetolikos?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. OFI will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. OFI (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Panetolikos (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. OFI (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Panetolikos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 1.
- OFI has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Panetolikos has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Panetolikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, OFI is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in OFI: Fountas T.
(Muscle Injury)
Koutsoupias F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Panetolikos: Aguirre J.
(Inactive)
Satsias G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OFI won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has OFI won against Panetolikos?
OFI has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against OFI?
Panetolikos has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFI - Panetolikos were as follows:
18.10.2025
Panetolikos
-
OFI
4:2
19.01.2025
Panetolikos
-
OFI
1:0
29.09.2024
OFI
-
Panetolikos
1:2
25.09.2024
OFI
-
Panetolikos
2:1
11.05.2024
OFI
-
Panetolikos
1:2
Latest results of Panetolikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
